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Thread: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

  1. #121
    High five! nate's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Quote Originally Posted by AtomicDumpling View Post
    73 Wins.

    Jay Bruce and Joey Votto make the All Star team.
    Johnny Cueto, Micah Owings and Aaron Harang have arm surgery.
    Chris Dickerson takes over Centerfield after the All Star break.
    Brandon Phillips wins the Gold Glove, but gets traded to the Mets on July 31st.
    Dusty Baker and Walt Jocketty get fired on October 1st.
    Barry Larkin is hired as Manager.
    Heh, whoa...bold!
    "Bring on Rod Stupid!"

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  3. #122
    WOOOOO!!! *BaseClogger*'s Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    I see the Reds at 77-85 and fourth place. And if they finish above .500, I'll eat more spinach (instead of crow) than Popeye, who they probably could use in left field.
    Awesomeness. And we match!
    "On-base percentage is great if you can score runs and do something with that on-base percentage," Baker said. "Clogging up the bases isn't that great to me."

  4. #123
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    60-102

    I see no way that this team is nothing but bad. I guess its a good thing that my interest in the Reds is by far the lowest it has ever been so I will not waste as much time on a losing team as I have in the past.

  5. #124
    Knowledge Is Good Big Klu's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    I'm feelin' lucky...

    94
    Eric Stratton, Rush Chairman. Damn glad to meet ya.

  6. #125
    Pitching is the thing WVRedsFan's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Here we have the two extremes. 4256 says 60 wins and Big Klu says 94. I'm confident in saying BK will not see this team come even close to 90 wins, but I'm also confident they'll win more than 60.
    www.ris-news.com
    "You only have to bat a thousand in two things; flying and heart transplants. Everything else you can go 4-for-5."
    -Beano Cook

  7. #126
    Viva la Rolen kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    86 Wins

    -Gonna be a fun season
    -Who needs Bruce when you've got Votto
    -Bruce ain't chopped liver though
    -Dusty isn't a manager who's gonna win a bunch of games for you
    -He ain't gonna lose a bunch either
    -Johnny > EV
    -The saber-crowd will hate Willy
    -The fans will enjoy Willy
    -George Grande will love Willy
    -EE is going to be the disappointment this year
    -Glad to see you back Mr. Harang
    -RZ will heatedly debate Owings role...everyday player???
    -I'm pumped up


  8. #127
    Member Stormy's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    78-84

    A few decent offseason moves to bolster LF/SS (and leave CF alone), and a competent manager, and we'd have had a solid chance at 87+ territory, in my opinion.

  9. #128
    Little Reds BandWagon Reds Nd2's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    The board seems a bit pessimistic this season. The contrarian view says...

    88 wins.
    "...You just have a wider lens than one game."
    --Former Reds GM Wayne Krivsky, on why he didn't fly Josh Hamilton to Colorado for one game.

    "...its money well-spent. Don't screw around with your freedom."
    --Roy Tucker, on why you need to lawyer up when you find yourself swimming with sharks.

  10. #129
    Score Early, Score Often gonelong's Avatar
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    Mods, please merge this recap into the predictions archive

    We have averaged about 7 Ws too optimistic over the years. The average prediction this season was roughly 79 so I hope we are closer this year because 79 - 7 = blech.

    Code:
    4256 Hits    60
    top6        62
    UKFlounder    68
    StillFunkyB    68
    MWM        69
    Ltlabner    70
    dfs        70
    Jpup        70
    wheels        70
    oneupper    71
    Homer Bailey    72
    IowaRed        72
    WilyMoROCKS    72
    RedFanAlways1966 73
    M2        73
    Razor Shines    73
    hebroncougar    73
    AtomicDumpling    73
    KronoRed    74
    deltachi8    74
    paintmered    74
    GAC        74
    mth123        74
    alloverjr    74
    LoganBuck    75
    Raisor        75
    Highlifeman21    75
    Always Red    75
    flyer85        75
    lollipopcurve    76
    OUReds        76
    Caveat Emperor    76
    SMcGavin    76
    NC Reds        76
    Ron Madden    76
    George Anderson    76
    Chip R        76
    Kc61        76
    *BaseClogger    77
    BuckeyeRedleg    77
    Cyclone 792    77
    boognish    77
    gonelong    78
    edabbs44    78
    cumberlandreds    78
    BRM        78
    kbrake        78
    Mario-Rijo    78
    Red in Chicago    78
    HumnHilghtFreel    78
    Boss-Hog    78
    GoReds33    78
    Stormy        78
    LawFive        79
    thatcoolguy 22    79
    RedsManRick    79
    Reds Fanatic    79
    Tom Servo    79
    Playadlc    79
    Crosley68    79
    redsfaninbsg    80
    redsfan30    80
    RichRed        80
    Screwball    80
    reds44        80
    RFS62        80
    coachw513    80
    Heath        80
    MrCinatit    80
    nate        81
    rotnoid        81
    WVRedsFan    81
    sonny        81
    DoogMinAmo    82
    Falls City Beer    82
    Danny Serafini    82
    membengal    82
    MississippiRed    82
    AmarilloRed    82
    Austin Kearns    82
    Scrap Irony    82
    RANDY IN CHAR NC 82
    westofyou    82
    WebScorpion    82
    OnBaseMachine    83
    bucksfan2    83
    Puffy        83
    Vada Pinson Fan    83
    redsmetz    83
    SirFelixCat    83
    Strikes Out Looking 83
    pedro        83
    TheBurn        84
    dougdirt    84
    TheNext44    84
    mbgrayson    84
    Joseph        84
    Edskin        84
    cincrazy    84
    bucksfan    84
    Tornon        84
    Hoosier Red    84
    tixe        85
    Degenerate39    85
    Caseyfan21    85
    dabvu2498    85
    RedsBaron    86
    kaldaniels    86
    TRF        87
    New Fever    88
    VR        88
    Reds Nd2    88
     Sir Charles    89
    JaxRed        90
    Roy Tucker    93
    Big Klu        94
            78.97

  11. #130
    Smells Like Teen Spirit jmcclain19's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Thanks GL for doing this again - the official Redszone prediction thread of record.

    I can't see a team with this many judy hitters winning more than 82 games. Anything better than that and I'll eat my hat.

  12. #131
    Score Early, Score Often gonelong's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Quote Originally Posted by jmcclain19 View Post
    Thanks GL for doing this again - the official Redszone prediction thread of record.

    I can't see a team with this many judy hitters winning more than 82 games. Anything better than that and I'll eat my hat.
    Well shoot ... thanks to the board for letting me do this each year.

    GL

  13. #132
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    83 wins and a midseason Matt Holliday acquisition
    Go BLUE!!!

  14. #133
    Score Early, Score Often gonelong's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    Courtesy of texasdave, the Sundeck prediction thread came in with an average of 82.75 Ws.

    Mods, feel free to archive this to the predictions thread.

    GL

  15. #134
    Posting in Dynarama M2's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    gonelong, has the team ever beaten the average since you started doing this? I'm under the impression it hasn't, but I figured you'd know for sure.
    Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong

    I'm witchcrafting everybody.

  16. #135
    Score Early, Score Often gonelong's Avatar
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    Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread ..

    M2, once out of 7 years. Kinda flies in the face of the "negative" perception this site has garnered over the years. Net, we are a sunshine and rainbows kinda group.

    In 2006 ORG predicted average was 76.7 Ws and the Reds managed to best that by pulling out 80 wins. I will point out, that the PYTHAG for the Reds was 76 Wins that year.

    In 2004 we predicted 76.8 Ws, the Reds pulled out 76 wins, with a PYTHAG of 67.

    A brief recap of that info can all be found at the bottom first post of this thread, including links to the original prediction threads.

    GL
    Last edited by gonelong; 04-08-2009 at 02:45 PM.


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