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View Poll Results: What is your prediction of Jay Bruce's career batting average?

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  • Greater than .300

    2 3.85%
  • .280 - .300

    20 38.46%
  • .260 - .280

    26 50.00%
  • Less than .260

    4 7.69%
Results 1 to 14 of 14

Thread: Jay Bruce AVG

  1. #1
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    Jay Bruce AVG

    I know batting average is an outdated statistic, but it is still widely used nevertheless. If you had to guess Jay Bruce's career batting average (looking forward,) what would you say and why?
    Go BLUE!!!

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  3. #2
    breath westofyou's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    I would never guess a random rate stat like that for a career, the way the game is played can push it 20 points either way, plus a 21 year old is different man than a 35 year old.. just ask Al Kaline.

  4. #3
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    Quote Originally Posted by westofyou View Post
    plus a 21 year old is different man than a 35 year old.. just ask Al Kaline.
    Sure, that's fair. You can make it for the next ten years if you like. BTW, you don't have to ask Al, you can ask Ken.
    Go BLUE!!!

  5. #4
    Pagan/Asatru Ravenlord's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    i'd be surprised if Bruce ever has a single season at 290 or more, and i expect his career average to be in the 266-274 range...but if he suddenly turns into a 30+ HR and 80+BB guy, i'd expect 285-300 to be his normal range.
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  6. #5
    The Boss dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    I think he will hit .300 a few times in his career. His skillset suggests he can be a solid .285 hitter for most of his career.

  7. #6
    Member Superdude's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    but if he suddenly turns into a 30+ HR and 80+BB guy, i'd expect 285-300 to be his normal range.
    I think he's got the first thing covered already

  8. #7
    Pagan/Asatru Ravenlord's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    Quote Originally Posted by Superdude View Post
    I think he's got the first thing covered already
    i think so too, but the question becomes if he can get passed the 50-60 range his minor league and current MLB numbers suggest. on the plus side, he's 21 so that's more likely than it would be for say, Laynce Nix at this point.
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  9. #8
    Member OnBaseMachine's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    I think he'll eventually develop into a consistent .300+ hitter.
    I miss Adam Dunn.

  10. #9
    Member Ron Madden's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    I don't care what his career BA is as long as he avoids outs and produces runs.

    What saddens me is Bruce and Votto will most likley be playing elsewhere in just a few years.

  11. #10
    Stat Wanker Hodiernus RedsManRick's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    I misread the poll, thinking it related to just this year. Over time, his plate discipline will continue to improve - as will his production against lefties. For his career, I'd put him at .280, plus or minus 15 points in either direction.
    Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.

  12. #11
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    Since the last half of last year, it seems to me that Bruce is being coached to pull the ball for HR's. He is currently connecting at a 40+ HR pace. With experience he will become more selective in choosing pitches he is able to drive for HR's. At that point I expect his K's will decrease and he will use the whole field as he did when he first came up. He'll take singles when that is all that can be done with a wicked two strike pitch. More than 90% of his career is still ahead of him.

  13. #12
    The Big Dog mth123's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    Bruce looked really bad tonight. Hopefully Votto can get back in there and Dusty will feel comfortable enough to give Bruce a day off. I'd put Rosales at 3B and Hairston in the OF against the next lefty the Reds face with Bruce going to the bench.
    "All I can tell them is pick a good one and sock it." --BABE RUTH

    Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS

  14. #13
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    He's looked awful as of late. I would give him a day off too.

  15. #14
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    Re: Jay Bruce AVG

    .280-.300. I just think that's what he'll arrive at for his career.


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