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Thread: Checking in on the top prospects

  1. #31
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    Re: Checking in on the top prospects

    But 9 extra base hits in 43 games is poor from a guy projected to be a power hitting prospect.
    Soto is young. He will get stronger, like every other human being his age. As they say, power develops later.
    "Baseball is a very, very complex business. It's more of a people business than most businesses." - Bob Castellini

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  3. #32
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    Re: Checking in on the top prospects

    Great post, mth. I don't find anything depressing about it. Some good surprises, some guys struggling to make progress, no more than the usual downsides. I do think Alonso is doing everything we'd expect from him. His May line is relevant: .349/.432/.554/.986. There's only one way to draft, IMHO, BPA, and I think in 2008 we actually got him.

  4. #33
    Waitin til next year bucksfan2's Avatar
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    Re: Checking in on the top prospects

    Quote Originally Posted by mth123 View Post
    I agree that its a little early to be judging too harshly, but its the end of May and the numbers are where the numbers are. Frazier and Soto were ranked that high on the basis of hitting everywhere they go. So far they haven't, so maybe the rankings were optimistic. I see your point and actually think they'll get it together, but right now there seems to be a chink in the armor and they probably fall a few notches behind Stubbs, Heisey, Stewart etc.
    They both are off to a slow start but I give a pass because of his age and level. Numbers are numbers, and if a Reds player would struggle to start we wouldn't be so kind to. However I just don't know how much age, development, and level weigh into slow starts or even fast starts.

    IMO two of the most important prospects in the Reds system are Stubbs and Cozart. Stubbs has been on fire to start this season. I just wonder if I should temper it the same way I temper the disappointment of Soto and Frazier, or be more excited because this is his last step before the bigs. Cozart if he puts up a good season should jump into the top 5 Reds prospects. It seems like the Reds have had him on the fast track and he has yet to disappoint.

    I really want to see what the Reds do with Heisey. He has been putting up great numbers but he is blocked by Stubbs who has more raw talent and has been putting up impressive numbers himself. If the Reds feel Heisey is the same as Stubbs, it will be interesting to see if either is moved. You can't have too much depth in the minors, but you also don't want to waste a MLB talent in the minors for too long.

  5. #34
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    Re: Checking in on the top prospects

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post


    There are two big outliers in there. August of 2007 when Soto was injured and April of 2009. Every other month in there looks fairly similar.

    Soto's skillset is looking like a high average, low walk, strong power type of player. Say .300/.350/.500 type of hitter. Think Aramis Ramirez. Look past his 'season' stats at this point, its skewed majorly by 1 bad month right now.
    That is a very interesting graph. What you derive from the graph makes sense. I do know that kids are often streaky, talented ones sometimes more so.

  6. #35
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    Re: Checking in on the top prospects

    Alonso's numbers are at Sarasota, always a tough place to hit. I expect to see his numbers improve when he is promoted to Carolina.

  7. #36
    BobC, get a legit F.O.! Mario-Rijo's Avatar
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    Re: Checking in on the top prospects

    Quote Originally Posted by AmarilloRed View Post
    Alonso's numbers are at Sarasota, always a tough place to hit. I expect to see his numbers improve when he is promoted to Carolina.
    As are Soto's. Every year we question why people aren't hitting with power down there, I'd think that by now it'd be obvious.
    "You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one."

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