Great stuff, RMR. I've really enjoyed reading these last few pages.
Great stuff, RMR. I've really enjoyed reading these last few pages.
Last edited by Razor Shines; 06-12-2009 at 07:16 PM.
"I know a lot about the law and various other lawyerings."
Hitters who avoid outs are the funnest.
if Dickerson can't find his way into the lineup in a game against Hochevar that has a DH I have no idea when he would.
Like I said when they signed Willy T, it was a flat awful signing because he was going to play
Reds Centerfield
2008
.249 .299 .401 .700
2009
.246 .300 .320 .619
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
Tonight while hitting leadoff Taveras saw a total of 8 pitches in 4 at bats. In the first and 9th he bunted on the first pitch each time. In the third he took a ball before grounding out on the 2nd pitch. In the 6th he took a ball and a strike before grounding out. I know he is slumping but that reeks of a batter who has no confidence about their ability to fall behind and make contact or of a scouting report that said you must swing at the first strike you see or else. I am not surprised at how bad the offense is. I am surprised that they are able to put up as many runs as they do.
"Baseball players are smarter than football players. How often do you see a baseball team penalized for too many men on the field?" ~ Jim Bouton
If Willy is going to bat...he should be batting 7th or 8th at the very least...definitely not 1st or 2nd.
Let's not get too carried away. His OBP for his entire minor league career was almost .370.
He's been bad as of late (and he's not great in general)...I don't think anyone is denying that. But Willy's career OBP is better than nearly every Reds player's OBP is this year...excluding Votto (who has been out for a while now), Gomes (who has 34 Abs), Hannigan and Dickerson.
"I know a lot about the law and various other lawyerings."
Hitters who avoid outs are the funnest.
Willy's OPS is is now .582.
I suspect that Willy's career OBP is inflated by one season where he got an abnormally high number of bunt hits to drive it up. I'd guess his true skill level is somewhere below that (I'd guess around .300 is a reasonable expectation). When looking at OBP, its easy to forget that a player's value can't be judged by OBP alone. There is also a power element to a guy's offensive production and Willy is completely devoid of any power. Even if his career number is what we could expect from this point forward, his complete lack of power would still make that inadequate (no matter where he hits in the line-up). Guys like Nix, Phillips and Bruce can carry a lower OBP than guy's like Taveras or Hopper would need to have because they contribute heavily to the offense through power production. Ideally, they would all OBP above .350, but Phillips, for example, has shown that he can be a positive offensive contributor with an OBP below that. Willy, OTOH, would need to be significantly higher than that. IMO, if Willy were to OBP .330 and steal 60 bases, he'd still be a drag on the offense because he just doesn't make up for his complete lack of power by doing the things that he does do. Willy's current OBP of .288, IMO, is about 90 to 100 points below where it would need to be for Willy to avoid being a negative.
Last edited by mth123; 06-13-2009 at 09:51 AM.
All my posts are my opinion - just like yours are. If I forget to state it and you're too dense to see the obvious, look here!
And that is a very telling sign of the construction of this current team, that, from an offensive standpoint looks like it came straight from the Island of Misfit Toys.
In the NL, they are bottom tier, and very near the cellar, in almost every major offensive category. Just from observing them, and I've watched practically every game, they are even a mediocre pitcher's dream team to face because they show no patience whatsoever, up there hacking away, and do nothing more then provide an opposing team's INF with GB practice.
Yeah, we definitely miss Votto. But even when he comes back this team is going to struggle because when one looks at the offensive numbers of batting #1 and #2 (table setters) - it should make most sick. It's simply totally unacceptable, and this this is the team that Walt and Dusty built.
Now not to despair, because it is fixable. But IMO, I don't think Baker can. Not when I listen to some aspects of his philosophical approach.
"In my day you had musicians who experimented with drugs. Now it's druggies experimenting with music" - Alfred G Clark (circa 1972)
Willy is 0 for June and Dickerson can't buy a PA>
flying flip.
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