You predicted the same thing back on May 6 after the Brewers kicked our butts at GAB. Here were are on June 22 and they are still hanging around. Sort of like the weather man predicting 50% chance of rain every day.Originally Posted by Falls City Beer
It's been trending badly for a few weeks (for both the Reds and the Brewers). When the only hope is a gimpy Volquez and Votto, and the number of teams ahead of you in the division and wild card grows every day, the prognosis gets darker. That's not meteorology; it's plate tectonics.
It's trending very, very nicely for the Cubs and Cardinals, the latter of whom is going volcanic on offense.
“And when finally they sense that some position cannot be sustained, they do not re-examine their ideas. Instead, they simply change the subject.” Jamie Galbraith
For those who enjoy this kind of stuff:
http://www.baseballrace.com/main_racePlayer.asp
Let the graphical depiction of the race begin!
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
I think you are making too much of short-term hot streaks and continuing to hedge your bets with the Reds.
Well, I guess by virtue of the fact that I predicted a .500 season, it's always going to look like I'm hedging a bit. It'll likely plateau some when Votto and Volquez return.
“And when finally they sense that some position cannot be sustained, they do not re-examine their ideas. Instead, they simply change the subject.” Jamie Galbraith
You said leave the Reds in the dust. That implied to me that the Reds would only get worse, record wise, from here. Perhaps we're on opposite side of assumptions. I don't see anyone taking off in this division, so .500 will always keep the Reds a long winning streak away from sneaking up on the field.
Not necessarily. I just happen to disagree. I think both the Cards (with their offense) and the Cubs (with their pitching) were poised to be bears coming out of the gate; they stumbled, but they're finding their footing.
The Reds looked like a .500 squad and I think that's the tier they're settling into.
“And when finally they sense that some position cannot be sustained, they do not re-examine their ideas. Instead, they simply change the subject.” Jamie Galbraith
The Cards offense has been inconsistent, and I think that is going to continue. The Cubs are the Cubs.
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