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Thread: Statistical Importance of Joey Votto and a Full Lineup

  1. #1
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    Statistical Importance of Joey Votto and a Full Lineup

    Statistical Analysis with regards to lineups has always intrigued me, so I began to think about the impact that taking a bat like Joey Votto's out of the lineup has on a lineup such as the Reds'. Using Baseball Musings' Lineup Tool and yesterday's lineup, I inserted Votto into the lineup. First of all, the lineup that the Reds ran out on the field with yesterday:

    WT
    Hairston
    Phillips
    Gomes
    Hernandez
    Bruce
    Hanigan
    Rosales
    Harang

    This lineup will produce (on average) 4.067 runs/game.

    Next I introduced Votto into the lineup, forcing Hernandez out and leaving Hanigan to catch. Using this lineup:

    WT
    Hairston
    Votto
    Phillips
    Gomes
    Bruce
    Hanigan
    Rosales
    Harang

    The Reds would average 4.680 runs/game. Taking this same idea and adding EE to the lineup with his career averages boosts the lineup up to a theoretical 4.872 runs/game.

    This is nearly a full run per game difference in offense. This may not sound like much, but the difference between the Los Angeles Dodgers lineup (4.97 R/G) and the Reds lineup (4.21 R/G) is about the same difference between the Votto/Votto-less lineups above. If you look back at our recent schedule and have been watching recent games, you know the impact that a single run per game can have. Once Votto and/or EE return I expect this offense to be much more potent; there is NO WAY that I am giving up on this team yet.
    Last edited by REDSEER; 06-22-2009 at 05:41 PM.
    This will not change until the Reds win the World Series.......

    April 28, 2006.

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  3. #2
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    Re: Statistical Importance of Joey Votto and a Full Lineup

    I dont believe the first lineup nets a 4 runs per game Avg.

    Votto will definitely help. I say avg. 1-2 runs per game thanks to votto.


    However i say even with him. Were getting swept or mininum losing series VS toronto.

  4. #3
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    Re: Statistical Importance of Joey Votto and a Full Lineup

    I don't think that we will be swept by the Blue Jays...especially with the revelation that Votto will be back tomorrow. Hopefully this provides a boost for the entire team....
    This will not change until the Reds win the World Series.......

    April 28, 2006.


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