So, is Lehr considered a lock to make the Major League club? Is that why he isn't considered a prospect?
Tyler Cline
Matt Fairel
Josh Fellhauer
Mariekson Gregorius
Harold Johnson
Donnie Joseph
Sam Lecure
Logan Ondrusek
Henry Rodriguez
Miguel Rojas
Enerio Del Rosario
Mark Serrano
Juan Silva
Jordan Smith
Juan Carlos Sulbaran
Mace Thurman
Daniel Tuttle
Philippe-Alexandre Valiquette
Humberto Valor
Pedro Viola
Other - Name him
So, is Lehr considered a lock to make the Major League club? Is that why he isn't considered a prospect?
Last edited by Kingspoint; 12-09-2009 at 05:38 AM.
All my posts are my opinion - just like yours are. If I forget to state it and you're too dense to see the obvious, look here!
"You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one."
--Woody Hayes
For me, that's usually Mace Thurman.
I like Joseph, but compare the two of them. Both are lefty relievers. Both were born in '87 (Thurman is seven months older). Thurman has two years of professional ball under his belt, Joseph one. Thurman has pitched at a higher level. And Thurman's numbers are better across the board . . . ERA, WHIP, K/9, K:BB, you name it.
No, those are good numbers. Don't get me wrong, I like Thurman. But he is probably a 6th inning guy. Joseph could be an 8th inning guy. And sure, there are hazards to projecting simply off of stuff, but its not like Joseph is coming out of the pen looking like Sean Watson did this past season. Prior to his last two outings when Dayton had no other choice but to use him every day, he was flat out dominating the MWL.
I'm glad you asked. He got on base at a higher % , he out slugged Fellhauer and while Fellhauer walked at a decent rate Silva walked at a much better rate. Silva also stole as many bases. I know Fellhauer was two levels higher but Silva is 3 years younger and didn't have the advantage of playing 3 years of college ball.
Last edited by Lockdwn11; 12-09-2009 at 06:49 PM.
But his higher OBP is based on a .400 BABIP. His slugging is more of the same (IsoP's were within .010 of each other, meaning the power difference was next to zero difference). While Silva did have the better walk rate, his overall plate discipline was much worse. Silva does have better speed, I will give him that one.
To make note of just how much BABIP comes into play with these two guys, lets just swap BABIP between them and see how the lines play out.
Fellhauer with Silva's BABIP would have hit .356/.420/.530. Silva with Fellhauers BABIP would have hit .217/.317/.399.
The difference was, Fellhauers BABIP was .300, what you would expect guys to be at. Silva doesn't look so hot with a normal BABIP does he with that.716 OPS. The kid has tools and the beginnings of a nice swing, so don't get me wrong. I like him plenty, but his performance this year wasn't anything special outside of some incredible luck that took his line from average to excellent.
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