Turn Off Ads?
Results 1 to 3 of 3

Thread: Interesting Study on A Run Scored vs. A Run Saved

  1. #1
    Member Highlifeman21's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Bristol, just around the corner from ESPN

    Interesting Study on A Run Scored vs. A Run Saved

    Saw this at RedReporter, which linked to the Viva El Birdos site.

    A Run Scored vs. A Run Saved

    Very interesting read, should lead to some good discussion here.

  2. Turn Off Ads?
  3. #2
    High five! nate's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2005
    Irvine, CA

    Re: Interesting Study on A Run Scored vs. A Run Saved

    Interesting read, thanks!
    "Bring on Rod Stupid!"

  4. #3
    Stat Wanker Hodiernus RedsManRick's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2004
    Guelph, ON

    Re: Interesting Study on A Run Scored vs. A Run Saved

    I think he has the conclusion slightly off. It should not be bad teams need scoring and good teams need runs. Rather, it's that the better you are at a given thing, less valuable the next marginal run (scored or prevented) becomes. So if you're the Reds of 2006, you get more win value from a run prevented than a run scored. But if you're the Reds of 2009, it's the other way around.

    That said, it's very rare for teams to be so good or bad at one compared to the other that the difference in value justifies paying significantly more for one skill set compared to the other. I'd love to get a better sense of this scale though. I also think it would be fascinating to see market values (e.g. $450k per run) placed on run scoring and run prevention separately, perhaps even separating out defense and pitching. I'm sure you could do a regression on the data sets available to get there...
    Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.

Turn Off Ads?

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!

RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball

Contact us: Boss | GIK | cumberlandreds | dabvu2498 | Gallen5862 | Plus Plus | RedlegJake | RedsfaninMT | redsfan1995 | The Operator | Tommyjohn25