I put a lot more stock in the second chart linked above than I do the first, which does not address the amount of time (or number of possessions) remaining in the game.
According to the first chart, the team that scores a TD in the second quarter to go up 19-14 should go for 2, but that's never going to happen. Teams are always going to kick the PAT to take the 20-14 lead.
Frankly, I can't see ever going for two until the last ten minutes or so of the game. The risk/reward is most often not worth it.
The best explanation I heard was never go for two if you can afford to give up a score and still win the game. 22-13 in the 2nd quarter, you're likely risking too much by giving up the "automatic(as long as Brad St. Louis isn't snapping) extra point.
When people say that I donít know what Iím talking about when it comes to sports or writing, I think: Man, you should see me in the rest of my life.
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