Sometimes good decisions don't end up having good outcomes and sometimes bad ones do. I believe the best way to evaluate a decision is based on the information that was available at the time the decision was made. Unless you believe that Jocketty was expecting this level of performance, I find it hard to give him credit for a "good decision" simply because Cairo is putting together a career year at age 36. If you you prefer to base your assessment on outcomes, we'll have agree to disagree.
But in any event what makes you think:
A. I'm not enjoying the fact that he is contributing?
B. I'm not pulling for him to continue playing well?
C. I'm trying to diminish his contributions?
While I appreciate your polite tone, frankly I take offense at the notion that I am unable to be critical of a decision and yet appreciative of its outcome -- that I'm somehow a lesser fan for not being all sunshine and rainbows. If you (and others apparently) really believe that I don't enjoy it when a player does well simply because I disagree with the decision to roster them, then I guess that makes it a little clearer why people are hostile to my perspective so often.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
Despite his stats, he's the first player I'd DFA in almost any transaction that brings in a new player.
For 2010, Cairo needs to stay. I can't believe I actually wrote that, but it is fairly obvious at this point.
There would be other ways to maneuver the roster depending on the addition. On Sept 1 the rosters expand. Demoting Bray until then is one option among many.
I just take issue with those who seemingly want to judge a decision solely based on what is known at the time it is made. You must factor in performance afterwards to some degree.
I see it this way. When it comes to signing guys who might be your 24th/25th guy, it's not about the stats. There are other considerations, and these are generally ignored by quite a few folks. I don't even debate it any more, it's a lost cause. Cairo, and others like him -- Juan Castro has continued to find major league employment on good teams -- bring those qualities that do not show up on a stat line. Some folks recognize it, others don't.Does "times like this" mean that we should tailor the way we go about evaluating a decision (not the conclusion itself but the actual process for arriving at it) based on the way it works out rather than by using a consistent approach? That seems like cherry picking to me.
So, in the message board context, when a guy like Cairo performs well, it is satisfying to me in that it prevents those who do not recognize that he has any value from waxing bilious about his qualifications to be in the major leagues.
Because, without question, he has *proven* that he can have value on the very grounds that the skeptics had so indignantly claimed.
"Baseball is a very, very complex business. It's more of a people business than most businesses." - Bob Castellini
For me, the only value in looking back in this way is to inform how we look forward. Giving people credit for good/bad luck just makes our future decisions harder.
Maybe it's luck, but I think it's inaccurate to conclude that it had to be luck alone, and that there was no way Jocketty could have foreseen that Cairo would have helped the team. He's done it enough times, that it's probably more likely that he does know what he's doing and not just getting lucky everytime.
"Imagination is more important than knowledge." -- Albert Einstein