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Thread: Jay Bruce

  1. #1
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    Jay Bruce

    I found these two opinions here which look at Jay Bruce from a fantasy perspective. Here you go:

    Behrens for Bruce: It always feels wrong when we refer to professional athletes as "unlucky," but, speaking strictly about balls-in-play, no one in baseball had less luck than Bruce in 2009. He posted MLB's lowest BABIP among players with 300 plate appearances (.222). Before fracturing his right wrist in July, Bruce appeared to be our game's best buy-low candidate. The fantasy stats didn't match the underlying skills.
    Thus it was no great surprise when Bruce mauled opposing pitchers in September after returning from the DL. He hit .326/.426/.652 with four homers over the season's final three weeks, reminding us of the talent that made him the 2007 Minor League Player of the Year. He still projects as an eventual star. Entering his age-23 season, it's much too early to limit Bruce's ceiling. He's a career .334 hitter at Triple-A; he managed to hit 22 home runs for Cincinnati last year in just 101 games, in a campaign that disappointed everyone. Don't sleep on him on draft day.
    Bruce actually improved his plate discipline and contact rate in 2009 – check the outside-swing and zone-contact percentages– so be careful not to overstate the extent of his sophomore-year struggles. And before you give a home park advantage to Gonzalez, understand that Great American has been more homer-friendly than Coors Field in four of the past five seasons. If Bruce maintains his '09 power pace over 550 at-bats, then he'll hit 35 bombs in 2010. If he improves, then he'll be the year's greatest bargain.
    Funston responds: I'm not going to sit here and disparage Jay Bruce, because you don't give up on a soon-to-be 24-year old with his upside. But we do know that there are some sizeable issues that he needs to overcome. Like 758 career at-bats at a .240 clip – 237 of those ABs have come against southpaws and have produced a sub-Mendoza line of .198. There's also the matter of just seven steals (and nine caught stealings) in that span, as well. That's two very significant holes in a standard five category roto set-up.

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  3. #2
    All work and no play..... Vottomatic's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce

    I agree with the above because of his age, but I see holes in his swing as I'm sure the opposing scouts do too. He needs to adjust.

    We have some serious home run potential this year. My projections if everyone stays healthy:

    Votto - 30 HR's
    Bruce - 35-40 HR's
    Phillips - 20 HR's
    Rolen - 15 HR's (playing in GABP will help)
    Cabrera - 10 HR's (playing in GABP will help him too)
    Stubbs - 20 HR's
    Heisey/Francisco/Gomes - 20 HR's

    Maybe no big bat, but alot of 20 to 25 HR type players.

  4. #3
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    Re: Jay Bruce

    My Take:

    Votto - 30-35 HR's
    Bruce - 35-40 HR's
    Phillips - 20-25 HR's
    Rolen - 20 HR's
    Cabrera - 10 HR's
    Stubbs - 10 HR's
    Heisey/Francisco/Gomes - 20 HR's
    Ramon: 10-15 HR's

  5. #4
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    Re: Jay Bruce

    I would like to know how Funston comes to the conclusion that Bruce is soon to be 24.

  6. #5
    Member BigPoppa's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce

    Quote Originally Posted by Grande Donkey View Post
    I would like to know how Funston comes to the conclusion that Bruce is soon to be 24.
    Well, after he turns 23 right after 2010 Opening Day, then he'll be almost 24. got it ?
    "...kicks and deals, and it's right down Broadway"
    2009 Attendance Record 1-2
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  7. #6
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    Re: Jay Bruce

    Quote Originally Posted by BigPoppa View Post
    Well, after he turns 23 right after 2010 Opening Day, then he'll be almost 24. got it ?
    Ahhhh, I now understand his logic.

  8. #7
    The Future is Now Ghosts of 1990's Avatar
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    Re: Jay Bruce

    I think Rolen could hit 25 out and I think jay only hits 30.
    2009 Attendance Record: 3-5 2010 Attendance Record: 2-9
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  9. #8
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    Re: Jay Bruce

    Stubbs 20 HR?!?!? That would be a huge accomplishment. So far his power hasn't projected to the minors, let alone the majors.

    PEACE

    -BLEEDS
    I think that in a year or two, one of these guys - Frazier, Dorn, Valaika, Cumberland, Stubbs - will be ready to replace Dunn. They won't hit as many home runs as Dunn, but they should have similar OPS. - 757690, July 22, 2008

    Alonso will be playing 1B for the REDS and batting 4th one year from today. - Kingspoint, July 9, 2009


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