That's a great question. Chapman, I say yes. I hope Leake makes the rotation, but I doubt he'll be given a real shot and that's a shame IMO. I'd be real careful on overusing Chapman this season in terms of workload, you've already got $30 million invested in him. Wood, I wouldn't mind seeing make 12-15 starts in AAA to see where he's at, then bring him up and use him.
Chapman would be a fine candidate for bullpen activity since his cost is locked-in to the team for the next 6 seasons.
Leake / Wood? All you're doing is wasting valuable service time and advancing the date where they start to cost the team lots of money if they are as successful as people are projecting.
For a small market team like the Reds to compete, they can't be wasting pre-arb years for their top talent.
23 Years and Counting...
been in a Chapman thread lately?Chapman would be a fine candidate for bullpen activity since his cost is locked-in to the team for the next 6 seasons.
I have no idea what's best for them. I hope the Reds do.
I just wanted to duck in here to say that I am beyond giddy at the future of this team with Cueto and Bailey already acclimated to the bigs and Leake/Champan/Wood knocking hard on the door, with Volquez in the wings coming off Tommy John. That is as enviable a collection of young arms as you can find in baseball right now, comparable with Tampa, I would suggest. It is a wonderful base to build from, to deal from, and to get a fanbase charged up about baseball again.
I am beyond thrilled with how this appears to be developing, and can't wait to see how it all unfolds.
Weaver's Eighth Law: The best place for a rookie pitcher is in long relief
It has been 40 years since Weaver's most successful days with the Palmer/McNally et al crew. Not sure that law still holds up. It may, it may not. It may just be a bon mot. Twins broke Liriano in out of the pen, didn't stop him from blowing an elbow out a short time later.
What I bolded is the most important issue to me. While I seriously doubt the idea of Chapman will ever be considered and would doubt Leake would be traded, the Reds have quite a few trading chips at their disposal. I really think Walt will be active over the next few years building a very good club.
Off the top of my head, recent successful young pitchers who have not served time in long relief:
Lincecum, Cain, F. Hernandez, Cole Hamels, Verlander, Porcello, Billingsley, Kershaw, Jurrjens. And probably others, if I spent some time musing over it.
I think the Twins broke J. Santana in via long relief, and that obviously turned out much better than Liriano did.
I just don't know that there is a "best" way.
In general, it's about easing the transition to the majors and reducing the chance of failure. It's probably less useful for a polished, big-college guy like Leake than for somebody like Chapman, Liriano, or Santana.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
Last edited by westofyou; 03-16-2010 at 12:13 PM.