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Thread: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

  1. #16
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    87


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  3. #17
    A Lost Ball In High Weeds shredda2000's Avatar
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    84 wins
    "I don't want to embarrass any other catcher by comparing him to Johnny Bench."
    Sparky Anderson

  4. #18
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    84 wins

  5. #19
    Member texasdave's Avatar
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    If Brandon Phillips is batting cleanup, how can a team expect to win more than 82? This is not a knock on BP, who has value as a player, but he would never bat 4th on a quality team.

    82 (LXXXII for you Roman History aficionados) (Ocho Dos for you Bengal fans)

  6. #20
    Registered User DannyB's Avatar
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    89
    no way they win 90

  7. #21
    Member Kingspoint's Avatar
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    From ORG 1st post:

    Old Red Guard
    YR RZ Act Ptgh Delta
    -- -- ---- ---- -----
    09 79.0, 78, 76 (+ 1.0)
    08 81.6, 74, 72 (+ 7.6)
    07 81.4, 72, 75 (+ 9.2)
    06 76.7, 80, 76 (- 3.3)
    05 84.7, 73, 75 (+ 11.7)
    04 76.8, 76, 67 (+ 0.8)
    03 87.9, 69, 63 (+ 18.9)
    02 79.7, 75, 75 (+ 4.7)

    Sundeck
    YR RZ Act Ptgh Delta
    -- -- ---- ---- -----
    09 82.7, 78, 76 (+4.7)
    08 85.1, 74, 72 (+11.1)

    Not surprising that the whole of Redszone is overly optimistic and that the SunDeck is even more optimistic than the ORG. I am surprised that it was by a lot so many times. Only 3 times within 3.3 runs, while 5 times way overly optimistic.

    I do like the trend of both the SunDeck and the ORG. Better each of the last 3 years for the ORG, while nailing it last season, and much improvement the second season for the SunDeck.

    Looking roughly at the first round of predictions, it's looking like the concensus is going to be somewhere around 80-81 wins, though the SunDeck looks to be closer to 84 while the ORG looks to be closer to 79. Wouldn't be surprised if the 80-number wasn't within three of the pythagorean, also.
    Last edited by Kingspoint; 03-30-2010 at 04:33 PM.

  8. #22
    youngtimer
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    83 wins baby....

  9. #23
    Member Knightro28's Avatar
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    I'm going with 85. Pray our pitching depth and Walt's "direction" counts for something.

  10. #24
    Member Kingspoint's Avatar
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    I thought that "Rolen Veteran Leadership" was going to get us to 90+ wins?

  11. #25
    Backup First Baseman OGB's Avatar
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    88 wins, and thats mainly because they play in the NL Central. I think they'll do very well this year against the Cubs, Brewers, Pirates, and Astros (when Oswalt isn't pitchin.) .500 or better against the Cards would be a nice bonus.
    (Referring to Jack Hannahan signing with a Korean team)
    Since there are no teams on the moon, I guess South Korea's far enough from Cincinnati to satisfy me.
    -RichRed

  12. #26
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    They break the losing streak, albeit barely.

    82

  13. #27
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    I think they are truly a year away from something special. Give Me 84 wins this year, just missing the wild card.

  14. #28
    The Future is Now Ghosts of 1990's Avatar
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    I think we'll go 83-79 and it will feel like about 95 wins to us after what we're used to witnessing.
    2009 Attendance Record: 3-5 2010 Attendance Record: 2-9 2015 Attendance Record: 2-0
    2011 Attendance Record: 3-4 2012 Attendance Record: 3-4
    2013 Attendance Record: 5-2 2014 Attendance Record: 3-1

  15. #29
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    85 and 77. Close but still on the outside looking in.

  16. #30
    The Franchise sivman17's Avatar
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    Re: 2010 - Gonelong's 9th annual Season Ws prediction thread

    88-74


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