In an attempt to track Jonny Gomes production I am creating the Helmet Tug Chronicles. I figure roughly 100 PA has the beginnings of a sample size and we can get into the numbers a little bit. The question what can the Reds expect from Gomes from here on out?
O swing % 37.7
Z swing % 73.2
O swing % 27.8
Z swing % 68.9
In 1/3 of the sample size Gomes has become interesting to me. K% and BB% are down, LD% is up, BABIP is very similar, but his ISO has gone down tremendously. The only real issue I can see is with his swinging at pitches outside of the zone. A 10% jump in rate could factor heavily in the early returns on Gomes' value. Granted all of this could easily be a direct result to a slow start, and to be fair here are his numbers for the last 10 games:
Last 10 games
12-36 4XBH 4Runs 8RBI 9K 1BB
So now with a little data where does the Redszone community stand on the future production on the helmet tugging Gomes? Myself I see the walk rate steadily climbing and a dramatic improvement over these numbers when I reassess after 200 PA. On a sidenote I'm not going to bring actual stats into his defense. It is still way too early for any of those numbers to mean anything, feel free to discuss though as it pertains to his overall value.