It was encouraging to read that Aroldis Chapman was using more of his off-speed pitches tonight. The consensus is that he still has a long way to go in his development. If that is the case he is going to be a monster. But a more pertinent question should be asked. Is he is ready to be brought up or not?
Here are the numbers from his last five starts. Judge for yourself.
Four of the five starts I would consider outstanding. One clunker in there to be sure.Code:IP H R ER HR BB K 5.2 3 0 0 0 3 7 5.0 3 0 0 0 1 7 7.0 4 2 2 0 3 5 2.0 6 7 7 1 6 1 5.0 4 1 1 0 2 9 24.2 20 10 10 1 15 29 22.2 14 3 3 0 9 28
There are two total lines at the bottom. The first is all five starts and the second is without the clunker.
The first total line works out to an ERA of 3.65. Even with the bad start thrown in the numbers are solid. Less than a hit per inning pitched and a 2:1 ratio of strikeouts to walks.
The second total line works out to a microscopic ERA of 1.19. All of the peripherals are outstanding.
Only one ball has left the yard in his last 24 2/3 innings.
His bad start was really, really bad no doubt. But don't the four really, really good starts make up for that? He could go a little deeper into games but I would take 5 or 6 innings of one run ball any day and all day.
His Bill James Game Scores would work out to be 67,67,63,11,62 respectively.
I am sure he has more developing to do. But, honestly, the pitcher that comes to the majors fully developed is the rare exception rather than the rule.
I think he is on the cusp. If one of the starting five falters much longer, Chapman goes into the rotation IMO.