100 games in, how many wins will it take to reach the playoffs?

[OnBaseMachine]

The Reds played their 100th game of the season today and currently have a 55-45 record at the 100 game mark. How many wins do you think it will take for the Reds to reach the playoffs? With 62 games remaining, if the Reds play .500 baseball the rest of the way that would put them at 86-76. That's not enough to make the playoffs, IMO. I think 90 wins could get them in. In order to do that, the Reds would have to go 35-27 over their final 62 games. The starting pitching will have to continue pitching like they have lately, and the offense will need guys like Bruce and Gomes to step it up, but it's doable, IMO.

Let's hear your opinion. Are the Reds capable of winning 90 games?

[PuffyPig]

The Reds are on pace for 89 wins.

I'm guessing that they or the Cards will do better than that to make the playoffs.

Probably 92 might do it.

[RedsManRick]

If we end up with 90, I think we're more likely to win the division than the wild card. I'd be a whole lot more comfortable with 92. Of course, that's going to require near .600 ball the rest of the way.

[Falls City Beer]

If we end up with 90, I think we're more likely to win the division than the wild card. I'd be a whole lot more comfortable with 92. Of course, that's going to require near .600 ball the rest of the way.

Which is pretty unlikely.

[OnBaseMachine]

I really, really want the Reds to make the playoffs this season but I will say this - if this team wins 88+ games it will be a huge step in the right direction no matter what. I think next year's team will be better. Volquez will be back for the full season. Jay Bruce and Drew Stubbs will have another year of experience under their belts. Aroldis Chapman may be ready to contribute by then. Not to mention the F.O. will have the whole offseason to upgrade the shortstop and left field positions. With that said, I want to make the playoffs this season. Hopefully Walt can upgrade the team in the next few days to give the team a better chance in the final 62 games.

[guttle11]

If the NL West separates itself a bit, it could take 94-95 wins. If the West teams all knock each other back a peg, anywhere from 88-92 could be enough. Look out for the Phillies, though. I expect a huge August from them, Oswalt or no Oswalt. They will get Utley back and they know the drill...they will make a nice run. If any team is going to make a major charge, they are the most likely.

[corkedbat]

I'll say 92 wins gets the divison and 89 the wild card

[The Voice of IH]

if you take the thread title literally, 1 more win then the cardinals

but honestly I think 95 wins is what its going to take. The Cardinals will likely bring in a key player, and I would still not be surprised if Jocketty does something also. The Reds and the Cards have the easiest schedule in baseball, plus they are playing teams that will be dismantled by August. I am aiming high, but I think that is what it will take to win the Central.

[Falls City Beer]

if you take the thread title literally, 1 more win then the cardinals

but honestly I think 95 wins is what its going to take. The Cardinals will likely bring in a key player, and I would still not be surprised if Jocketty does something also. The Reds and the Cards have the easiest schedule in baseball, plus they are playing teams that will be dismantled by August. I am aiming high, but I think that is what it will take to win the Central.

I doubt it takes 95 just to make the playoffs. 90's a good threshold.

[klw]

94

[The Voice of IH]

I doubt it takes 95 just to make the playoffs. 90's a good threshold.

that's to win the central, I agree that 90 could get you in with the wild card...JMHO

[Falls City Beer]

that's to win the central, I agree that 90 could get you in with the wild card...JMHO

This version of the Cards isn't a 94 win club.

[Ron Madden]

I'm not sure just how many wins it would take for the Reds to win the division or to claim the wild card, I do know the Reds must play better than they have for the last month to win this division.

[Ghosts of 1990]

We win 92 we're in. I was ready to post that as I entered the thread

[nemesis]

Not to mention the F.O. will have the whole offseason to upgrade the shortstop and left field positions.

I think an everyday Heisey upgrades the LF position now.

Gomes in May:

(.364 BA) .420/.636/1.056 10 BB in 88 Ab's

Gomes in April, June, July combined:

(.236 BA) .271/.395/.666 11 BB in 225 Ab's

Not to mention a -30 UZR in LF.

Not a snowflakes chance you pick up his $1.8 mil option next year.

He literally is living off one big month right now. He needs to be platooned, badly. This is where the manager and his archaic baseball beliefs hurt this franchise. He sees those RBI numbers and just thinks he is a everyday ballplayer. But the real numbers, show he is dragging this offense down with him. Once Rolen is back, you have to, have to, have to make a switch.

93 is the Wild card number. 90 is the Division.