IF the Cardinals pass us in the Central (don't stone me, I'm just supposing), and IF the Padres win the West --
we would have to finish ahead of:
EITHER the Braves (currently 2 games behind them) or Phillies (currently 1/2 game ahead of them)
AND the Giants (currently 2.5 games ahead of them)
The point of the thread is, I see the far easier path to the playoffs to beat the Cardinals, rather than win the wild card. I especially see it quite possible to be behind both the Braves and Phillies when it's all over. They do have 6 games left against each other, so that might help. The Phillies also have 3 games against the Giants, and the Braves-Giants have none left.