Turn Off Ads?
Page 1 of 39 1234511 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 15 of 615

Thread: Reds' 2010 magic number

Hybrid View

Previous Post Previous Post   Next Post Next Post
  1. #1
    Member klw's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    New England
    Posts
    15,105

    Reds' 2010 magic number

    125



    Hopefully this will not be a very short thread.

  2. #2
    Member
    Join Date
    Dec 2006
    Posts
    2,198

    Re: Reds' magic number

    omg you just jinxed it
    2010 Mock Draft Selections (picking for Rays)

    Bryce Brentz
    Brandon Workman
    Kris Bryant
    Matt Lipka
    Rick Hague

  3. #3
    The Future is Now Ghosts of 1990's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Columbus, OH
    Posts
    4,210

    Re: Reds' magic number

    Oh brother haha.
    2009 Attendance Record: 3-5 2010 Attendance Record: 2-9 2015 Attendance Record: 2-0
    2011 Attendance Record: 3-4 2012 Attendance Record: 3-4
    2013 Attendance Record: 5-2 2014 Attendance Record: 3-1

  4. #4
    Bunn-O-matic max venable's Avatar
    Join Date
    Mar 2002
    Location
    Sugarcreek, Ohio
    Posts
    2,749

    Re: Reds' magic number

    hey, I just think it's nice to actually have a magic number.

    any combination of Reds wins and Cards losses means we win the division! let the countdown begin.
    For every action there is an equal and opposite criticism.

  5. #5
    Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2001
    Location
    Indianapolis, IN
    Posts
    7,719

    Re: Reds' magic number

    I put it up as my facebook status. Glad I calculated correctly.
    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeRed27 View Post
    Honest I can't say it any better than Hoosier Red did in his post, he sums it up basically perfectly.

  6. #6
    Socratic Gadfly TheNext44's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2008
    Location
    Los Angeles
    Posts
    4,230

    Re: Reds' magic number

    I thought 3 was the magic number?

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GA69pmhrBiE
    "Imagination is more important than knowledge." -- Albert Einstein

  7. #7
    Member klw's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    New England
    Posts
    15,105

    Re: Reds' magic number

    With Monday's win over the Brewers and St. Louis's win

    124

  8. #8
    Member klw's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    New England
    Posts
    15,105

    Re: Reds' magic number

    123!!!

  9. #9
    Senor Votto
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Posts
    7,953

    Re: Reds' magic number

    If the Cards lose today will it drop to 122? How does that work

  10. #10
    Red's fan mbgrayson's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2005
    Location
    Montana
    Posts
    2,303

    Re: Reds' magic number

    Not to be a wet blanket, but the numbers here are not right. At best, the '123' can represent our magic number vs. the Cards. (I haven't double checked the math, but assuming it is right.)

    We also have a magic number vs. every other team in the division. Since the Cardinals are in second, our number vs. them is currently the highest. But it is quite possible for there to be a combined total of 123 Reds wins and Cardinal losses the rest of the year, and neither of those teams make the playoffs. What if the Cubs actually get hot, and pass up the Cardinals or the Reds? May seem unlikely right now, but there is a lot of baseball yet to play. Cubbies are only 5 or 6 games back.

    Magic numbers really only work well toward the end of the season when you are down to two or three teams.

    There are also several sites that do a 'playoff odds report'. This morning, before today's win, they listed the Reds as having a 34% chance of making the playoffs, and the Cardinals as having a 60% chance. The reason? Pythag records and win expectency based on pythag.

    See http://www.coolstandings.com/basebal...gs.asp?i=1.com

    http://www.baseballprospectus.com/st...cs/ps_odds.php

    But I will say this: with how the Reds have been playing the last two weeks, it is hard to see them not having a really good chance to win the division. The Pirates, Astros, Brewers, and Cubs have looked terrible. The Cardinals look much better than the other teams, so it is natural to look at them as the only club that could beat the Reds.

    But things do change and shift throughout the season.
    __________________
    "I think we’re starting to get to the point where people are starting to get tired of this stretch of ball,” Votto said. “I think something needs to start changing and start going in a different direction. I’m going to do my part to help make that change.”

  11. #11
    Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2001
    Location
    Indianapolis, IN
    Posts
    7,719

    Re: Reds' magic number

    MBGrayson,

    You're essentially correct. The magic number assumes that its combined Reds wins with the team behind us losses.

    The magin number (vs. Cardinals) is 123
    (vs. Cubs) is 118
    (vs. Pirates) is 118
    (vs. Brewers) is 116
    (vs. Astros) is 115
    Quote Originally Posted by BuckeyeRed27 View Post
    Honest I can't say it any better than Hoosier Red did in his post, he sums it up basically perfectly.

  12. #12
    Big Red Machine RedsBaron's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2000
    Location
    Out Wayne
    Posts
    24,132

    Re: Reds' magic number

    Quote Originally Posted by Hoosier Red View Post
    MBGrayson,

    You're essentially correct. The magic number assumes that its combined Reds wins with the team behind us losses.

    The magin number (vs. Cardinals) is 123
    (vs. Cubs) is 118
    (vs. Pirates) is 118
    (vs. Brewers) is 116
    (vs. Astros) is 115
    To be safe the Reds should just win another 123 games. That would give the Reds 146 wins, which would probably be sufficient.
    "Hey...Dad. Wanna Have A Catch?" Kevin Costner in "Field Of Dreams."

  13. #13
    The Future is Now Ghosts of 1990's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2008
    Location
    Columbus, OH
    Posts
    4,210

    Re: Reds' magic number

    I feel like this thread is a really bad jinx... that is, if anyone is taking it seriously yet... someone kick me for bumping it before August
    2009 Attendance Record: 3-5 2010 Attendance Record: 2-9 2015 Attendance Record: 2-0
    2011 Attendance Record: 3-4 2012 Attendance Record: 3-4
    2013 Attendance Record: 5-2 2014 Attendance Record: 3-1

  14. #14
    Member klw's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    New England
    Posts
    15,105

    Re: Reds' magic number

    121

  15. #15
    Member klw's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jan 2005
    Location
    New England
    Posts
    15,105

    Re: Reds' magic number

    I was going to bump this when the Reds got it down to 50. That happened coming into the series but I didn't want to jinx. Now to undo the jinx by not trying to jinx, I bump this. The Reds magic number is 50. (So is the Cardinals but that's another story)


Turn Off Ads?

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!


RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball


Contact us: Boss | Gallen5862 | Plus Plus | Powel Crosley | RedlegJake | The Operator