Dorn might want to learn to speak Japanese.
Dorn might want to learn to speak Japanese.
I just don't get it with Dorn -- nobody AL team is interested in a 26 year old guy who hit .302/.398/.545 in AAA last year? Sure, he's limited defensively, but why pay Jack Cust $3M when you could have Dorn for free?
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
Maybe because Dorn carries the risk of the unknown? If he bottoms out, you now have a hole in your roster that could have been filled by Cust, who you know will get you in the .800-.850 range of OPS?Originally Posted by RedsManRick
Even against rhp, I'm not entirely sold on Dorn's ability to hit breaking pitches.
Between him and Horst not being taken, I am just utterly confused. Last year Ben Jukich was taken in the Rule V draft. He was ultimately returned, but Ben Jukich isn't nearly as good of a prospect as Horst is. How a lefty with stuff that grades out as average, good control and outstanding numbers in AA/AAA didn't get picked up is just confusing. Especially when we consider that these guys were taken:
Jose Flores - 21 year old who hasn't played in High A - RHP
Adrian Rosario - 20 year old who hasn't played in High A - RHP
Mason Tobin - Didn't throw a pitch in 2010, only threw 2.2 in 2009 and in 2008 he was in Low A where he threw 37.2 innings with 18 strikeouts and 18 walks.
Pat Egan - 25 years old, in AAA this season had a 1.70 WHIP, 53 hits allowed and 17 strikeouts in 37 innings.
I stopped looking at this point because I am just glad that teams are dumb.
Scroll down and look at some of the players I listed who were taken. Talk about risk? And honestly, for $25,000 I would 100% take the risk of watching Dorn hit all spring long to see what I thought instead of taking pitchers who have never played in High A. Every day of the week.
Of course, we're the team that picked Sergio Valenzuela, one of the most laughable Rule V picks ever.
Teams seem more interested in trying to hit the lottery than merely adding an asset.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
Touche.
It's all about pitching, so I'm not surprised about Dorn, though I too can't see any reason why somebody wouldn't spend 25 grand to see what he can do in ST. Seems risk-free. I'm surprised we didn't lose Horst and pleased to see him come back to us. I wish I'd seen more of Dorn; there must be something in his swing that's just got him a bad label among the scouts. Anybody actually seen him enough to have a feel for that?
Everyone's looking for a Josh Hamilton in the Rule 5.
It's like everyone trying to find the next George Mason in the final 4.
Some people play baseball. Baseball plays Jay Bruce.
The HR totals all look pretty low to me. 16 for Stubbs? 29 for Bruce?
I would hope that they each beat those projections by 10.
Go BLUE!!!
To think that any of us are smarter than all the organizations in baseball combined might be the questionable action in the equation.
He'd equal what OCab hit last year add in that he plays better defense and he'll probably bat 8th, it's at least somewhat of a step up.
"I know a lot about the law and various other lawyerings."
Hitters who avoid outs are the funnest.
I don't know about the Bruce projection at all.
I'm also expecting Homer to finally get a full year in the rotation. I expect him to improve a ton this year and be a stud for 2012.
This is the time. The real Reds organization is back.
I'm getting this feeling too, as he's struck me as a 26 or 27 year old that finally gets it, perhaps like a Gavin Floyd or even a Chris Carpenter at 29.
2015 Rotation: Under Construction
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