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View Poll Results: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

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  • Auburn Tigers

    26 59.09%
  • Oregon Ducks

    18 40.91%
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Thread: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

  1. #31
    Waitin til next year bucksfan2's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by jojo View Post
    Hopefully no one has waited until the last minute to buy their tickets.....
    I heard a report on StubHub about the game. What a cluster........


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  3. #32
    Score Early, Score Often gonelong's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by Boston Red View Post
    The Vegas books are decidedly on the side of Oregon. They are taking a bath if Auburn wins by more than three.
    [simplified]
    From how I understand it the line moves because money comes in on one side or the other. The initial line is important because the book makes money 10% (or whatever) on the losers. If they can keep 1/2 the money on each side, they win every time. If the line moves alot from the initial, they can get themselves in a spot where they can't control both sides of the bet as well.
    [/simplified]

    If you are talking about something else, I'd love to add to my knowledge base. Can't be a Renaissance man if you don't know something about everything.

  4. #33
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by gonelong View Post
    [simplified]
    From how I understand it the line moves because money comes in on one side or the other. The initial line is important because the book makes money 10% (or whatever) on the losers. If they can keep 1/2 the money on each side, they win every time. If the line moves alot from the initial, they can get themselves in a spot where they can't control both sides of the bet as well.
    [/simplified]

    If you are talking about something else, I'd love to add to my knowledge base. Can't be a Renaissance man if you don't know something about everything.
    The line started at Auburn -3. 70% of the money came in on Auburn. The line dropped to Auburn -1. Vegas is taking the Ducks tonight.

  5. #34
    Member kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by Boston Red View Post
    The line started at Auburn -3. 70% of the money came in on Auburn. The line dropped to Auburn -1. Vegas is taking the Ducks tonight.
    That doesn't make sense.

  6. #35
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    It makes sense if the house is inviting even more money to come in on Auburn. Their objective isn't always to even up the amount of money on both sides.

  7. #36
    Member kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by Boston Red View Post
    It makes sense if the house is inviting even more money to come in on Auburn. Their objective isn't always to even up the amount of money on both sides.
    Why would they want to do that?

    Unless the fix is in....

  8. #37
    Member kaldaniels's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    I will say I don't understand how Vegas sets/adjusts the spreads completely.

    Of the 4 upcoming games, only 1 has a 50/50 split on the spread...the others have variances from 16 to 38 percent....and I view these stats regularly and this is typical.

    I always hear how vegas just wants a 50/50 split...but according my chart from sportsbook.com, that is not the case.

  9. #38
    Et tu, Brutus? Brutus's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by kaldaniels View Post
    I will say I don't understand how Vegas sets/adjusts the spreads completely.

    Of the 4 upcoming games, only 1 has a 50/50 split on the spread...the others have variances from 16 to 38 percent....and I view these stats regularly and this is typical.

    I always hear how vegas just wants a 50/50 split...but according my chart from sportsbook.com, that is not the case.
    Agreed.

    Vegas just wants a line to be attractive to a majority of people. They want it to look like an easily attainable line. Once the line gets moving in a direction because of all the action on that line, the momentum slowly turns the other direction and others jump in thinking there's too much focus on the 'trendy' pick. The pendulum swings.

    With all that said... Quack. Quack. Quack.
    "No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda

  10. #39
    The Smiling Side AintlifeGrande's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by Brutus the Pimp View Post
    Agreed.

    Vegas just wants a line to be attractive to a majority of people. They want it to look like an easily attainable line. Once the line gets moving in a direction because of all the action on that line, the momentum slowly turns the other direction and others jump in thinking there's too much focus on the 'trendy' pick. The pendulum swings.

    With all that said... Quack. Quack. Quack.




    Amen to that Brutus.With me being a die hard Alabama fan,I would rather rot than pull for the Barners.To heck with this this ''fan of the conference''crap.Oregon could have Charles Manson QB,Bernie Madoff in the backfield,and Hitler split wide to the left,and I would still never pull for Auburn.

    ROLL TIDE ROLL!!

  11. #40
    Five Tool Fool jojo's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by AintlifeGrande View Post
    [/B]



    Amen to that Brutus.With me being a die hard Alabama fan,I would rather rot than pull for the Barners.To heck with this this ''fan of the conference''crap.Oregon could have Charles Manson QB,Bernie Madoff in the backfield,and Hitler split wide to the left,and I would still never pull for Auburn.
    If Auburn was all that stood between Hitler and the holocaust, you wouldn't scream War Eagle?
    "This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner

  12. #41
    Big Red Machine RedsBaron's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    I'm picking TCU.
    "Hey...Dad. Wanna Have A Catch?" Kevin Costner in "Field Of Dreams."

  13. #42
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    What's with the grass? Players are already slipping everywhere...

  14. #43
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Defensive struggle!

  15. #44
    Et tu, Brutus? Brutus's Avatar
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by RedsBaron View Post
    I'm picking TCU.
    The AP folks could still technically do that lol
    "No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda

  16. #45
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    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Here's a novel concept...stop throwing interceptions!


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