[simplified]
From how I understand it the line moves because money comes in on one side or the other. The initial line is important because the book makes money 10% (or whatever) on the losers. If they can keep 1/2 the money on each side, they win every time. If the line moves alot from the initial, they can get themselves in a spot where they can't control both sides of the bet as well.
[/simplified]
If you are talking about something else, I'd love to add to my knowledge base. Can't be a Renaissance man if you don't know something about everything.
It makes sense if the house is inviting even more money to come in on Auburn. Their objective isn't always to even up the amount of money on both sides.
I will say I don't understand how Vegas sets/adjusts the spreads completely.
Of the 4 upcoming games, only 1 has a 50/50 split on the spread...the others have variances from 16 to 38 percent....and I view these stats regularly and this is typical.
I always hear how vegas just wants a 50/50 split...but according my chart from sportsbook.com, that is not the case.
Agreed.
Vegas just wants a line to be attractive to a majority of people. They want it to look like an easily attainable line. Once the line gets moving in a direction because of all the action on that line, the momentum slowly turns the other direction and others jump in thinking there's too much focus on the 'trendy' pick. The pendulum swings.
With all that said... Quack. Quack. Quack.
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda
Amen to that Brutus.With me being a die hard Alabama fan,I would rather rot than pull for the Barners.To heck with this this ''fan of the conference''crap.Oregon could have Charles Manson QB,Bernie Madoff in the backfield,and Hitler split wide to the left,and I would still never pull for Auburn.
ROLL TIDE ROLL!!
"This isn’t stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner
I'm picking TCU.
"Hey...Dad. Wanna Have A Catch?" Kevin Costner in "Field Of Dreams."
What's with the grass? Players are already slipping everywhere...
Defensive struggle!
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda
Here's a novel concept...stop throwing interceptions!
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