Turn Off Ads?

View Poll Results: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

Voters
44. You may not vote on this poll
  • Auburn Tigers

    26 59.09%
  • Oregon Ducks

    18 40.91%
Page 3 of 13 FirstFirst 1234567 ... LastLast
Results 31 to 45 of 187

Thread: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

  1. #31
    Waitin til next year bucksfan2's Avatar
    Join Date
    Dec 2006
    Location
    Cincinnati
    Posts
    10,179

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by jojo View Post
    Hopefully no one has waited until the last minute to buy their tickets.....
    I heard a report on StubHub about the game. What a cluster........

  2. Turn Off Ads?
  3. #32
    Score Early, Score Often gonelong's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2001
    Posts
    4,138

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by Boston Red View Post
    The Vegas books are decidedly on the side of Oregon. They are taking a bath if Auburn wins by more than three.
    [simplified]
    From how I understand it the line moves because money comes in on one side or the other. The initial line is important because the book makes money 10% (or whatever) on the losers. If they can keep 1/2 the money on each side, they win every time. If the line moves alot from the initial, they can get themselves in a spot where they can't control both sides of the bet as well.
    [/simplified]

    If you are talking about something else, I'd love to add to my knowledge base. Can't be a Renaissance man if you don't know something about everything.

  4. #33
    Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Braintree, MA
    Posts
    2,085

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by gonelong View Post
    [simplified]
    From how I understand it the line moves because money comes in on one side or the other. The initial line is important because the book makes money 10% (or whatever) on the losers. If they can keep 1/2 the money on each side, they win every time. If the line moves alot from the initial, they can get themselves in a spot where they can't control both sides of the bet as well.
    [/simplified]

    If you are talking about something else, I'd love to add to my knowledge base. Can't be a Renaissance man if you don't know something about everything.
    The line started at Auburn -3. 70% of the money came in on Auburn. The line dropped to Auburn -1. Vegas is taking the Ducks tonight.

  5. #34
    Viva la Rolen kaldaniels's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Posts
    8,031

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by Boston Red View Post
    The line started at Auburn -3. 70% of the money came in on Auburn. The line dropped to Auburn -1. Vegas is taking the Ducks tonight.
    That doesn't make sense.

  6. #35
    Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Braintree, MA
    Posts
    2,085

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    It makes sense if the house is inviting even more money to come in on Auburn. Their objective isn't always to even up the amount of money on both sides.

  7. #36
    Viva la Rolen kaldaniels's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Posts
    8,031

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by Boston Red View Post
    It makes sense if the house is inviting even more money to come in on Auburn. Their objective isn't always to even up the amount of money on both sides.
    Why would they want to do that?

    Unless the fix is in....

  8. #37
    Viva la Rolen kaldaniels's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2005
    Posts
    8,031

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    I will say I don't understand how Vegas sets/adjusts the spreads completely.

    Of the 4 upcoming games, only 1 has a 50/50 split on the spread...the others have variances from 16 to 38 percent....and I view these stats regularly and this is typical.

    I always hear how vegas just wants a 50/50 split...but according my chart from sportsbook.com, that is not the case.

  9. #38
    Et tu, Brutus? Brutus's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Location
    Atlanta, Ga.
    Posts
    10,567

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by kaldaniels View Post
    I will say I don't understand how Vegas sets/adjusts the spreads completely.

    Of the 4 upcoming games, only 1 has a 50/50 split on the spread...the others have variances from 16 to 38 percent....and I view these stats regularly and this is typical.

    I always hear how vegas just wants a 50/50 split...but according my chart from sportsbook.com, that is not the case.
    Agreed.

    Vegas just wants a line to be attractive to a majority of people. They want it to look like an easily attainable line. Once the line gets moving in a direction because of all the action on that line, the momentum slowly turns the other direction and others jump in thinking there's too much focus on the 'trendy' pick. The pendulum swings.

    With all that said... Quack. Quack. Quack.
    "No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda

  10. #39
    The Smiling Side AintlifeGrande's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2010
    Posts
    416

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by Brutus the Pimp View Post
    Agreed.

    Vegas just wants a line to be attractive to a majority of people. They want it to look like an easily attainable line. Once the line gets moving in a direction because of all the action on that line, the momentum slowly turns the other direction and others jump in thinking there's too much focus on the 'trendy' pick. The pendulum swings.

    With all that said... Quack. Quack. Quack.




    Amen to that Brutus.With me being a die hard Alabama fan,I would rather rot than pull for the Barners.To heck with this this ''fan of the conference''crap.Oregon could have Charles Manson QB,Bernie Madoff in the backfield,and Hitler split wide to the left,and I would still never pull for Auburn.

    ROLL TIDE ROLL!!

  11. #40
    Five Tool Fool jojo's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2006
    Posts
    18,949

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by AintlifeGrande View Post
    [/B]



    Amen to that Brutus.With me being a die hard Alabama fan,I would rather rot than pull for the Barners.To heck with this this ''fan of the conference''crap.Oregon could have Charles Manson QB,Bernie Madoff in the backfield,and Hitler split wide to the left,and I would still never pull for Auburn.
    If Auburn was all that stood between Hitler and the holocaust, you wouldn't scream War Eagle?
    "This isnít stats vs scouts - this is stats and scouts working together, building an organization that blends the best of both worlds. This is the blueprint for how a baseball organization should be run. And, whether the baseball men of the 20th century like it or not, this is where baseball is going."---Dave Cameron, U.S.S. Mariner

  12. #41
    Big Red Machine RedsBaron's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jun 2000
    Location
    Out Wayne
    Posts
    22,834

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    I'm picking TCU.
    "Hey...Dad. Wanna Have A Catch?" Kevin Costner in "Field Of Dreams."

  13. #42
    Member Oxilon's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Location
    Philadelphia, PA
    Posts
    2,133

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    What's with the grass? Players are already slipping everywhere...
    That hit was plenty fair. Atleast by a quarter of an inch.
    -Steve Stone

  14. #43
    Member
    Join Date
    Apr 2005
    Location
    Braintree, MA
    Posts
    2,085

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Defensive struggle!

  15. #44
    Et tu, Brutus? Brutus's Avatar
    Join Date
    Jul 2006
    Location
    Atlanta, Ga.
    Posts
    10,567

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Quote Originally Posted by RedsBaron View Post
    I'm picking TCU.
    The AP folks could still technically do that lol
    "No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda

  16. #45
    Member Oxilon's Avatar
    Join Date
    May 2003
    Location
    Philadelphia, PA
    Posts
    2,133

    Re: Who is your pick to win the BCS National Championship?

    Here's a novel concept...stop throwing interceptions!
    That hit was plenty fair. Atleast by a quarter of an inch.
    -Steve Stone


Turn Off Ads?

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •  

Board Moderators may, at their discretion and judgment, delete and/or edit any messages that violate any of the following guidelines: 1. Explicit references to alleged illegal or unlawful acts. 2. Graphic sexual descriptions. 3. Racial or ethnic slurs. 4. Use of edgy language (including masked profanity). 5. Direct personal attacks, flames, fights, trolling, baiting, name-calling, general nuisance, excessive player criticism or anything along those lines. 6. Posting spam. 7. Each person may have only one user account. It is fine to be critical here - that's what this board is for. But let's not beat a subject or a player to death, please.

Thank you, and most importantly, enjoy yourselves!


RedsZone.com is a privately owned website and is not affiliated with the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball


Contact us: Boss | GIK | BCubb2003 | dabvu2498 | Gallen5862 | LexRedsFan | Plus Plus | RedlegJake | redsfan1995 | The Operator | Tommyjohn25