Hopefully he's more athletic than his brother Niles.
"Man, the pitch looks fast, even in slow motion." Thom Brennaman on Chapman's fastball.
The error rates of Francisco and EE are about the same. But EE's errors were almost always throwing errors. Francisco's errors are almost always fielding errors. So Francisco's miscues are less costly. Still, he needs to improve and he doesn't show the amount of progress in the field nearly as much as he does at the plate.
His errors are physical errors. Simply put, Francisco has to get in better shape in order to play 3B adequately. If he does slim down (and perhaps bulk up), his range and his ability to get down on balls will improve.
In other words, what makes him a less than adequate fielder is fixable and fairly easy to do (unlike, for example, the years of bad habits EdE would have had to break in order to move his feet properly). It's simply a question of whether he will or not.
Because his arm is so strong (and accurate), Francisco could rightly be considered around AAA league average. At the major league level, he's below average, as his range is putrid and his ability to field low grounders is almost nonexistent. (Think Pablo Sandoval without the barrell chest.)
"You can learn little from victory. You can learn everything from defeat."
-- Christy Matthewson
"Show me a good loser and I'll show you an idiot."
-- Leo Durocher
At this point I could see Frazier having a very Mark DeRosa like career. Frazier is a bit bigger and has more power than DeRosa, but they fit a similar profile. I could see Frazier picking up a few 100 PA each of the next few years in a utility/back-up role, bouncing around a bit and then finally landing somewhere late in his prime and stringing some good full seasons together.
As it stands, I think his only chance for a full-time gig in Cincy is in LF.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
I checked the minor league stats of DeRosa and Frazier.
Frazier has more HR's and a much better OPS than DeRosa at the same stage of development. I could see Frazier profiling at 3B. We shall see.