I saw this posted a few years ago (I want to say by OBM), and found it pretty interesting. Basically, you can break the season up into 9 sets of 18 games. "Par" is going 10-8 on an 18 game series, and if you shoot par for the entire season, you win 90 games. I meant to post this after 18 games, but the Reds were coming off of a 4 game losing streak, and I guess I just forgot.
So far, the Reds are 1 over par. Reds need to go 5-3 over the next 8 games to shoot even on the second 18 games, and go 11-7 over the 3rd 18 games to get back to par. I think the Reds are very capable of doing so.
1st 18 games: 9-9
Score to Par:
1st 18 games: +1