These days, a first-pick with the talent Stephenson has is not a long shot to make the bigs. If he stays healthy, he'll get there.He is still a long shot to ever make the major leagues, as is any HS pitcher.
"Baseball is a very, very complex business. It's more of a people business than most businesses." - Bob Castellini
Throwing hard matters little if that's all you can do.I would love to see the Reds draft 5 hard throwers with the first 5 picks in next years draft
Of course there are a lot of ifs involved. My point projecting 2016 was that even if everything goes right he's still 5 years away. Wonder what the Reds will look like then.
Having better players makes "the right time" or "the big hit" happen a lot more often. PLUS PLUS
What about the factor of hard thrower vs junk baller? Does a Homer Baily or an Aroldis Chapman have a higher chance of being injured than a Mike Leake or a Bronson Arroyo. It seems to me that the physics of it would suggest that hard throwers are more at risk
Draftees prefer to sign major league contracts for financial reasons (i.e. less taxes).
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