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Thread: Reds Hot Stove Rumors (Discussion)

  1. #106
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    A Reds source agrees that Alonso is way too much for Bailey, writes MLB.com's Mark Sheldon. Sheldon notes that starting pitching is a more pressing need for the Reds than a closer.
    Good. I agree.
    Go BLUE!!!


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  3. #107
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by kaldaniels View Post
    OK, so you are the A's GM. What would you make the Reds give up to acquire Bailey?
    Given what the A's have in the outfield, you have to think the conversation is about Heisey.

  4. #108
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by HokieRed View Post
    Given what the A's have in the outfield, you have to think the conversation is about Heisey.
    I would trade Heisey for Bailey.
    Go BLUE!!!

  5. #109
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    I would say either Sappelt or Heisey straight up for Bailey. Anything more than that is just a pipe dream for Beane.

  6. #110
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by thatcoolguy_22 View Post
    I would say either Sappelt or Heisey straight up for Bailey. Anything more than that is just a pipe dream for Beane.
    Agreed
    Go BLUE!!!

  7. #111
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by PuffyPig View Post
    Because inducung "weak ground balls" is not a repeatable skill.
    Good sinkerball pitchers would disagree. Some have made a living out of it.

  8. #112
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by RANDY IN INDY View Post
    Good sinkerball pitchers would disagree. Some have made a living out of it.
    They induce more ground balls. The % of ground balls being induced being "weak" is no more than a fly ball pitcher.

    If pitchers could induce weak contact, they could control BABIP.

  9. #113
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by PuffyPig View Post
    They induce more ground balls. The % of ground balls being induced being "weak" is no more than a fly ball pitcher.

    If pitchers could induce weak contact, they could control BABIP.
    Contact is often weak if the pitch rides down and in, and is hard, much more so than that of a flyball pitcher.

  10. #114
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    "The A's are very willing to trade Andrew Bailey"
    http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2011/1...iley-deal.html

    Given his injury history and his abbreviated track record, this scares me. I certainly wouldn't give up more than a Sappelt/Heisey type.
    Go BLUE!!!

  11. #115
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    I certainly wouldn't give up more than a Sappelt/Heisey type.
    I'd prefer they try to unload Stubbs for him. Seems like a reasonable exchange, given the year Stubbs had in 2010.

    I don't think Heisey or Sappelt gets it done. Bailey's numbers, pre-injury, are elite. And you figure the TJ surgery will be something he'll bounce back from.

  12. #116
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by lollipopcurve View Post
    I'd prefer they try to unload Stubbs for him. Seems like a reasonable exchange, given the year Stubbs had in 2010.

    I don't think Heisey or Sappelt gets it done. Bailey's numbers, pre-injury, are elite. And you figure the TJ surgery will be something he'll bounce back from.
    If they want more than Heisey or Sappelt, I'd open it up to a bigger deal- see what they'd want for Bailey and Gonzalez or Cahill. Then we could start talking about guys like Stubbs, Grandal, Corcino, etc.
    Go BLUE!!!

  13. #117
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by PuffyPig View Post
    They induce more ground balls. The % of ground balls being induced being "weak" is no more than a fly ball pitcher.

    If pitchers could induce weak contact, they could control BABIP.
    Not to derail this thread, but we have no idea whether pitchers can control their BABIP. All we know is that the BABIP of pitchers, who pitch enough innings to create meaningful data, is within a small range.

    It is a logical fallacy to conclude that this data means that pitchers can't control their BABIP, there are many other logical explanations for this data.

    In fact, McCracken, who was the first to notice this data, explicitly asked people not to draw conclusions like that from the data.
    Hoping to change my username to 75769024

  14. #118
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    If they want more than Heisey or Sappelt, I'd open it up to a bigger deal- see what they'd want for Bailey and Gonzalez or Cahill. Then we could start talking about guys like Stubbs, Grandal, Corcino, etc.
    Agree, in general. However, I'd pull the trigger on Stubbs for Bailey straight up.

  15. #119
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by RANDY IN INDY View Post
    Contact is often weak if the pitch rides down and in, and is hard, much more so than that of a flyball pitcher.
    IIRC, I believe that a higher percentage of ground balls go for hits than flyballs.

    Guys like Derek Lowe who get groundballs generally don't have a history of having a lower BAPIP. Usually they will have significantly less home runs than other guys, and more DP's that help the success of a pitcher.

  16. #120
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    Re: Reds Hot Stove Rumors

    Quote Originally Posted by lollipopcurve View Post
    Agree, in general. However, I'd pull the trigger on Stubbs for Bailey straight up.
    Me too.

    I don't have much of a problem with Stubbs' offense last season, but his lack of growth as a fielder worries me greatly.
    Hoping to change my username to 75769024


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