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Thread: Third Year Wall - Japanese Pitchers In ML

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    ZCTRMTP!!!!! texasdave's Avatar
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    Third Year Wall - Japanese Pitchers In ML

    Interesting.

    When the Boston Red Sox signed Daisuke Matsuzaka to a six-year contract beginning in 2007 -- a $103 million investment including a $51 million posting fee to acquire his rights -- they worried about the Third-Year Wall. Research by the Boston quantitative analysts showed that most pitchers from Nippon Pro Ball suffered a sharp decline in performance about three years into their transition to Major League Baseball.
    Read more: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/201...#ixzz1dob7a0VU
    A summer watching a bad Reds' team, is still a pretty good summer.

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    Member LeDoux's Avatar
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    Re: Third Year Wall - Japanese Pitchers In ML

    I am curious as to how Japanese pitchers would compare a to non-Japanese control group. Is there no "wall" for others or a smaller wall?

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    ZCTRMTP!!!!! texasdave's Avatar
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    Re: Third Year Wall - Japanese Pitchers In ML

    Quote Originally Posted by LeDoux View Post
    I am curious as to how Japanese pitchers would compare a to non-Japanese control group. Is there no "wall" for others or a smaller wall?
    What kind of control group? Could you be more specific? Pitchers that signed big free-agent contracts?
    A summer watching a bad Reds' team, is still a pretty good summer.

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    Member LeDoux's Avatar
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    Re: Third Year Wall - Japanese Pitchers In ML

    Quote Originally Posted by texasdave View Post
    What kind of control group? Could you be more specific? Pitchers that signed big free-agent contracts?
    I suppose there could be several types:

    age-matched, vs. all starting pitchers with more than 30 starts for 3 consecutive years, other FAs.

    I would be most interested in the age-match group controlling for previous IP.


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