I don't disagree with you that it's likely to happen and I would never been so naive to think otherwise. But Votto's never made certain what his intentions are. It's a heckuva balancing act for the club and the fans, but that's the reality we're in.
Jocketty's original statements may be a smokescreen, but it's just as likely that he's working to take that pressure off for this offseason. I don't question that his attempts to negotiate an extension are sincere. Whether he'll succeed is, of course, open to debate. As you aptly note, it's not likely to happen. Those aren't mealy mouthed qualifiers; it's just stating the present reality.