RHP James Allen
C Tucker Barnhart
RHP Alejandro Chacin
LHP Tony Cingrani
OF Juan Duran
UT Brodie Greene
RHP Drew Hayes
LHP Donnie Joseph
OF Ryan LaMarre
RHP Kyle Lotzkar
OF Denis Phipps
UT Cody Puckett
3B Gabriel Rosa
RHP J.C. Sulbaran
2B Ryan Wright
other (please list below)
Juan Francisco at the same level struck out 32% less often than Juan Duran did. It isn't really comparable. As for most of them coming towards the end of the year.... that is true, kind of. The reason more came later, is because he had a lot more at bats in the final two months than he had in the first three. He actually had much lower strikeout rates in the final two months of the season than he did the first three, by a large amount. He was well over 40% in the first three months, and in the mid 30's in the final two months.
As for Rosa and wanting to see something.... I guess I can get that to an extent, but the Reds seem to know what they are doing when drafting don't they? They thought enough of this kid to spend a 2nd round pick on him.
The deeper you go into counts, the more often you're going to strike out. Unlike Francisco, Duran has shown a willingness to look at a pitch with three balls or two strikes, which bodes well for his future but inflates his strikeout totals. Also, Don't get me wrong--he obviously has a ton to work on--but I just feel like people are being a little too harsh about the strikeouts. As a side note, I can't help but wonder whether Fifth Third Field has something to do with it. My feeling is that players struck out more than any other stadium in the league by a long shot.
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Hmm, hadn't seen those stats before. That's encouraging to see Duran get it together more towards the end of the year, since I was going off of the game threads I had seen where he had a few poor performances towards the end of the year. Still, every raw prospect in our system has had flaws in his game exposed at that level; high strikeout rates are something that tends to improve with experience and decent coaching, unlike mechanical flaws or confidence issues that can follow a guy and seriously impede progress. I'd say Duran has a lot less holding him back than many at his level, and I won't sweat the strikeout rate until he's in AA and hasn't improved.
I wasn't completely sold on the Rosa pick and thought it was a bit of an overdraft, but maybe that's just because there weren't many touting him and we already have a lot of raw guys with even higher upside in Dayton. It didn't seem like we needed to waste a high draft pick on more, given how active we are in the free agent market in that part of the world anyway. I'll trust the scouts, but my gut says we could have done more with that pick.
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