I what they quoted Bronson a saying about the 2010 season when his velocity dipped [ about how when he wasn't hitting 91 or 92 like he thought he should he would rare back an try to throw hard, then the ball would flatten out and they'd kill it, but now he's learned to go with what works back and he's relying on stealth and painting the corners>
As to the original question, would I deal him now (this offseason)? Well if, all things being equal, the Red Sox offered me Ellsbury for him and I thought Walt would go out and deal for another starter (like Garza), then yeah, I'd do it. Since though, I don't see the Red Sox being that foolish, his excelerator clauses make dealing him damn nigh impossible and since I think Bronson could easily be as effective next year as he has been this year, probably not.
Another more pertinent question might be, if Bronson comes back next year and pitches as effectively as he has this year, does Walt offer him a two or three year extension? I wouldn't, not sure about the club though.
I'd deal him tomorrow for Ellsbury. (Not that I think that's possible.)
I'd deal Arroyo because I believe Chapman would be better and cheaper in the role of starter.
I'd also deal Leake for the same reason.
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If I were offered Giancarlo Stanton for Bronson Arroyo, I might consider it.
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As much as I get excited about Chapman coming into close a game out.........so do I worry about his arm fatigue. Sometimes I wonder if we should trade him now while his value is high.
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There are a lot of risks moving Chapman to the starters role at this point. Although there is vastly greater value in a top starter vs. top closer, it is far from guaranteed starter. A good portionof the reason that Chappy is a dominant closer is that he can come in for three or four batters and throw at speeds nearing (or exceeding 100+ MPH. Make him a starter and his top speeds probably fall to the 93-94 MPH range. He also would have to mix his ptches better and learn the trade of being a starter.
Not saying he couldn't, but its far from a sure thing too. Not so as a closer.