Crean also has his shortcomings. I don't have as big an issue with his Xs and Os as some do. I think his gameplan for Syracuse was correct. They needed to get the ball to the high post to draw in the zone to kick it out to the wings or to a slasher on the baseline. However, Zeller seemed scared to look at the hoop when he got the ball there, so he wasn't forcing any movement in the zone. Then, when he actually did try to make a play, he was completely soft and ineffective and required no help. If you can't attack the middle of the zone with your best player, you aren't going to beat Syracuse. I think Crean's primary shortcoming is in his substitution patterns. It's great to have a deep bench, but at some point you need to tighten up the rotation and stick with your stars. But Crean never did that, and it cost them in their losses this year.
That said, Indiana will still be very good next year. I would be shocked if Oladipo is back, but I could potentially see Zeller back next year. If he makes a commitment to working on his low post game, developing right and left handed jump hooks, bulking up and going stronger to the hoop, and developing a mid range shot, he could really up his draft stock. It's a risk because he could potentially fall even farther, but it might be worth it. Next year they'll have Yogi and Sheehey for sure in the starting lineup. Hollowell will probably take Watford's spot. Also, while they've got nothing on Kentucky, their recruiting class is very good, and they've got a few guys that should start/contribute from day 1. I expect them to still be a top 15 team next year.
That said, he's a fool to come back. Forget all the people saying he's not ready. He's ready to be a top 15-top 20 pick. Last year he would have been a top 10 pick. Even if he "gets better" he might still slide in the draft if he comes back next year.
I agree that he should go because there's a risk of falling more. However, his stock was not going to be any higher than it was after last year. After this year, he could theoretically improve his stock by a fair bit. Probably just the musings of a delusional fan, but I think he'll at least strongly consider coming back.
I wouldn't completely write off him coming back and I agree with most of what you said. Though one reason I don't think his NBA stock has suffered as much as people think is that I don't he's going to play center.
If you asked me to compare him to any current player in the NBA(Upside) it would be Tim Duncan. And while Duncan is theoretically a center, he plays much more like a power forward than a true center.
Taken from an ESPN Chad Ford chat from 3/26 - before the IU/Syracuse debacle.
Any chance Oladipo or Zeller stay in Bloomington for next year?
Think Oladipo is gone for sure. He's going to be a Top 5-6 pick. Zeller might be a bigger question mark. Some scouts love him, many don't. His stock is a bit more volatile. Not sure where he lands and whether he'd be better off returning for a year to add strength and a jump shot to his game.
"I have just been more than a little suspect of all the trades since the Willy (Scott Williamson) cash grab. That one left such a bad taste in my mouth that even a 1985 Dom Pťrignon couldn't cleanse it." -- Creek14
Not a surprise in the least but IU announced Victor Oladipo will forego his final season of eligibility and go to the NBA Draft. Godspeed Victor!
Not sure what to make of Cody not announcing yet, perhaps getting some negative feedback?
A problem I noticed with zeller is that he hunches over when he goes to the rim which ends up making him considerably smaller than he actually is. He needs to stay more upright. NBA bigs will make those Syracuse bigs seem like a fond memory if he doesn't get that corrected.
Razor Shines (04-09-2013)
Zeller is announcing tomorrow afternoon. I'd love it if he stays, but I doubt it. WMR is right. He needs to learn to make better use of his height. No excuse for all those blocked shots against a smaller Syracuse front line. His release is way too low, especially when he goes left.
"I know a lot about the law and various other lawyerings."
Situational Hitting is Stupid
I didn't think Zeller was the type of player who liked a whole lot of contact. The key to beating IU this season was to turn the game into a physical game. I think Zeller needs to get stronger physically and stronger around the rim. The thing is I don't know if Crean's style is conducive to that.
Herald Times just posted that Zeller is declaring for the draft today.
Next Reds manager, second shooter. --Confirmed on Redszone.