With Spring Training right around the corner, thought I'd throw my opinion out there on the best and worst deals of the off-season. I'm sure many will disagree, but most of the highly touted deals of the off-season look the worst from here.
1. Ryan Madson - Basically a one year $6 Million deal for a top closer. If Madson does well, the Reds probably exercise the option and avoid the buy-out, while Madson opts out for a long term deal. If Madson tanks or is injured, the Reds can opt-out for $2.5 Million and avoid long term damage.
2. Aaron Hill - The D-backs get a 2 year $11 Million deal for a decent defender who has 20 HR pop.
3. Josh Willingham - The Twins get a better hitter than the guy he's replacing (Michael Cuddyer) for $10 Million less over the same 3 year period.
4. Hiroki Kuroda - 1 Year for $10 Million for a solid middle of the rotation starter who fits the exact need of the team and won't block the high end kids on the way.
5. Octavio Dotel - Tigers fill the middle of the pen with quality for 1 year at $3 Million.
1. Yu Darvish - $100 Million+ for a guy who has yet to retire a major league caliber bat.
2. Jonathon Papelbon - $50 Million for a closer in a saturated market. Way too much.
3. Albert Pujols - Will be ok for the first few years, but will look awful in the last few years of the deal.
4. Jimmy Rollins - A really good player who is clearly on the down side. 3 years $33 Million seems about double what he'd be worth.
5. Jose Reyes - 6 years $106 Million for a guy who has trouble staying on the field. Signing a guy with his skillset and his history of leg problems seems a lot like throwing big money at a a pitcher with a bad arm.