You've never seen a strikeout, walk or home run win a baseball game?Originally Posted by Bumstead
I see.
You've never seen a strikeout, walk or home run win a baseball game?
I see.
Thank you for this post. I certainly understand the frustration, and I also understand the preference of having Chapman in the rotation. However, at the end of the day, Bailey is still a pretty good pitcher. Not a great pitcher -- not even one that has lived up to his expectations -- but still better than many teams have as a debated fourth or fifth starter.
Bailey is frustrating. However, the biggest knock against him for this year is spring performance and one start. I was always under the impression we shouldn't read too much into spring performance. Roy Halladay had a noted terrible spring but he came out and got a shutout on the first day. Bailey had a terrible first inning, but wasn't too bad after that last night.
I don't understand the panic button on this. I hope Chapman replaces him, but that's more about Chapman being a possible stud than a knock on Bailey.
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda
I typically find the peripherals listed on the "stats" page.
I often find them on the "excuse" page followed by a but, if/then, because, normalization, etc.
He can't show he can, you know, start, from the bullpen, can he? I'm just saying Bailey needs to start living up to his billing or he will be gone regardless of his peripherals and hype. His gap for "getting a pass" is closing quickly. I was thinking that the object of this season was to win games and compete for the division title, not sit around and watch Bailey and Arroyo pitch like they have for quite some time...
Bum
Referring back to the thread title, the FIRST thing that he should do today is go back to using his birth name, "David."
I'll admit that I'm not looking at his stats in-depth and I'm going by my gut here, but I say give him a few more starts and see what happens. If he doesn't improve, move him to the bullpen or see if he can blossom in another city. Maybe he'll pull a "Moyer" for someone.
25-24 with a lifetime ERA of 4.91. Batters have hit .274 against him (.264 last year). Even his best season in 2009, he went 8-5 with an ERA of 4.53. Looking at his splits last year, when Bailey had runners on 1st and 2nd, batters hit .324. On 1st and 3rd, they hit .313. Scoring position? .272.
We've seen brief flashes of greatness over the years. They just get overshadowed by his inconsistency. We've seen 5 years of it...nothing seems to have improved, at least in my eyes. Something's just not clicking for Homer, er "David", in Cincinnati.
Wow, thanks for raining the "knowledge." I will put this little nugget right there with all the other smart alec retorts from everyone's favorite poster. Your contribution was masterful as always!
Bum
Which one is the "rolling eyes" emoticon?
Likewise.
Actually Homer does that quite a bit when he leaves 3 fat ones over the middle of the plate.
Are those the same peripherals that said Matt Belisle was going to be a good starter? Or the same ones that said Edinson Volquez was worth the trouble?
Well, some of these peripherals show Homer's last start in a worse light than ERA does.
Matt Belisle has actually turned into a pretty good pitcher.
Volquez' peripherals are pretty much in line with his ERA (if that's your reference.)
Discounting the game yesterday, what would be the over/under on the number of quality starts Homer provides in the next 10 games.
I'll start the bidding at four. Anyone want to go on record and project higher?
His fastball is straight and he can no longer be considered a power pitcher. He was consistently sitting at 91, 92 last night, touching 94 once or twice. He has no idea where his pitches are going right now. This could change, but Homer is giving the appearance of being disinterested.
Its been close to 8 yrs that the Reds drafted Bailey. Plenty of time for him to grow and develop his pitching arsenal. My problem with Bailey is that I just don't see enough growth season to season in his pitches and approach which leads me to feel he has reached his peak with the Reds. It may be time to look at a change of scenery deal for Bailey maybe a Hughes for Homer swap with the Yanks.
If you have a losing record at Reds games, please stop going.
We can guess to your question but it really is too small of a sample if you are looking for "bragging rights".
But I will answer regardless. Last year Bailey put up a quality start in 13 of 22 starts. So being an odds man, I will take the over on your projection of 4 QS in his next 10 starts.
Yep, I predict 6-7 quality starts over his next 10.
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