Cueto, league average? Really?
Cueto, league average? Really?
You're saying Cueto's stuff is league average, right?
I don't. Most projection systems have Bailey, Leake and Cueto all pretty close to each other in ERA and one system (the one that was the best for the 2011 season) has Bailey behind only Latos in ERA for Reds starters (though Chapman also is ahead of Bailey but it comes as a reliever).
Bailey walks fewer batters and strikes out more than Cueto and Leake (he and Bailey are actually walking the same number of guys). That is a really good start towards being better.
I agree with Doug here. I firmly think that most of RZ is highly underestimating what Homer will and can do. HIGHLY underestimating.
I'm with you guys. I think Homer can put it together.
I'm much more worried who is going to be taking every 5th start come July/August than who is the 6th man out of the pen in April/May. There is no starting pitching depth sitting in AAA if Chapman or Bailey is sent to the pen. I would not be comfortable with either Chapman or Bailey being used as swing/long men to start the season and then being thrust back into the rotation when someone inevitiably gets hurt. For the same reason I would hate to see Bailey be traded. If you have to keep Chapman in the majors then it is Arroyo that shoudl be moved to the pen. He has the experience to bounce between rotation and bullpen.
The number 1 problem with Bailey, point blank, is health. If he can stay healthy, he'll be a very good pitcher. But until he's able to stay healthy, he gets put below Cueto in my opinion.
Bailey in the rotation, Chapman to Louisville until he gets a couple 6+ IP outings under his belt to prove he can do it.
Cincinnati Reds: Farm System Champions 2022
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