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Thread: Donald Lutz

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    Donald Lutz

    I thought I read somewhere that the Reds were gonna try and move this kid to LF. But everytime they give and update on reds live they list him at 1st. Just curious, looks like the kid can rake would hate to lose him because hes blocked at 1st.

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    The Boss dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Quote Originally Posted by GoReds19 View Post
    I thought I read somewhere that the Reds were gonna try and move this kid to LF. But everytime they give and update on reds live they list him at 1st. Just curious, looks like the kid can rake would hate to lose him because hes blocked at 1st.
    Right now, Bakersfield doesn't really have a first baseman and they have a glut of outfielders. Lutz is still playing out there though at times. Last night he made two errors in the outfield. He has the speed to play out there, but he has a long way to go with the rest of learning the position. When Dominic D'Anna comes back from the DL, I would expect Lutz to move to the outfield full time (or nearly full time).

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    Right now, Bakersfield doesn't really have a first baseman and they have a glut of outfielders. Lutz is still playing out there though at times. Last night he made two errors in the outfield. He has the speed to play out there, but he has a long way to go with the rest of learning the position. When Dominic D'Anna comes back from the DL, I would expect Lutz to move to the outfield full time (or nearly full time).
    Thanks

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Here are Lutz' totals for 2010, 2011 & thusfar this year.

    I like that his power has come on while improving his average and maintaining fairly high Slashes.

    How concerned should we be in his BB/K numbers going forward?

    Billings (2010)

    AB: 203 BB: 21 (10.3%) K: 45 (22.1%) ,286/.356/,478/.834

    Dayton (2011)

    AB: 465 BB: 34 ( 7.3%) K: 125 (26.9%) .301/,358/492/.850

    Bakersfield (2012)

    AB: 112 BB: 9 ( 8.0%) K: 25 (22.3%) .304/.352/.643/.995

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    The Boss dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Donald Lutz

    You really should calculate K and BB rates by using PA's and not AB's. Gives a much better picture.

    But Lutz is one of those guys who is not good in the plate discipline department, but isn't real bad. It is something that is worth keeping an eye on with him, but nothing something that at this point in time is something to be overly concerned about.

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    You really should calculate K and BB rates by using PA's and not AB's. Gives a much better picture.

    But Lutz is one of those guys who is not good in the plate discipline department, but isn't real bad. It is something that is worth keeping an eye on with him, but nothing something that at this point in time is something to be overly concerned about.
    Thanks Doug!

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Went to the Reds versus futures game. Lutz absolutely killed the ball. Almost took Mike Leake's head off on a come backer up the middle. Also hit a homer to center. Has only played baseball for 5 years iirc.

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Quote Originally Posted by SidneySlicker View Post
    Went to the Reds versus futures game. Lutz absolutely killed the ball. Almost took Mike Leake's head off on a come backer up the middle. Also hit a homer to center. Has only played baseball for 5 years iirc.
    It was more to right center than center.

    He was the most impressive guy in batting practice of the minor league guys. He was hitting line drives that off the bat I swear were 'single' type hits and they were going into the seats. It was very impressive. Lutz has only been playing since he was around 14 or 15. He is 23 now, so it is more like 8-9 years. Still incredibly young in terms of playing time for his age though.

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Hamilton, Lutz, and possibly Vidal need to be moved up in the next month. They have nothing left to prove in high A. And Bakersfield has 3 of the top 3 of the top 7 California League starting pitchers by e.r.a. (Cingrani, Rogers, Lotzkar). Might as well move Cingrani up too.

    Move Hamilton and Lutz to OF permanently.
    "I can't take this homerism anymore." - 10xWSChamps, August 11, 2010. A Cardinals fan having a problem with all the homerism on Redszone. Classic.

    "Man do I miss the days where were didn't need a calculator and an encyclopedia of baseball metrics to enjoy a baseball game ... - MikeS21" - 8/2/12 game thread

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Quote Originally Posted by Vottomatic View Post
    Hamilton, Lutz, and possibly Vidal need to be moved up in the next month. They have nothing left to prove in high A. And Bakersfield has 3 of the top 3 of the top 7 California League starting pitchers by e.r.a. (Cingrani, Rogers, Lotzkar). Might as well move Cingrani up too.

    Move Hamilton and Lutz to OF permanently.
    Cingrani should probably stay where he is if he wants to develop his offspeed stuff.

    Hamilton, Lutz and Vidal all have something to prove at that level. They need to prove that they can deal with adjustments at that level once they have been around the league.

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    Cingrani should probably stay where he is if he wants to develop his offspeed stuff.

    Hamilton, Lutz and Vidal all have something to prove at that level. They need to prove that they can deal with adjustments at that level once they have been around the league.
    They can do that in double A.
    "I can't take this homerism anymore." - 10xWSChamps, August 11, 2010. A Cardinals fan having a problem with all the homerism on Redszone. Classic.

    "Man do I miss the days where were didn't need a calculator and an encyclopedia of baseball metrics to enjoy a baseball game ... - MikeS21" - 8/2/12 game thread

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Quote Originally Posted by Vottomatic View Post
    They can do that in double A.
    They can show they have the ability to make adjustments in High A while in AA?

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    They can show they have the ability to make adjustments in High A while in AA?
    There's not much of a difference.

    Reds need to move these guys along. It's not like they're jumping to AAA.

    Reds triple A team is a joke. They should move some real prospects up from AA to AAA and cut bait on some of those guys.
    "I can't take this homerism anymore." - 10xWSChamps, August 11, 2010. A Cardinals fan having a problem with all the homerism on Redszone. Classic.

    "Man do I miss the days where were didn't need a calculator and an encyclopedia of baseball metrics to enjoy a baseball game ... - MikeS21" - 8/2/12 game thread

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    Quote Originally Posted by Vottomatic View Post
    Hamilton, Lutz, and possibly Vidal need to be moved up in the next month. They have nothing left to prove in high A. And Bakersfield has 3 of the top 3 of the top 7 California League starting pitchers by e.r.a. (Cingrani, Rogers, Lotzkar). Might as well move Cingrani up too.

    Move Hamilton and Lutz to OF permanently.
    Maybe not in the next month, but probably by the All-Star Break, assuming they continue to produce at these levels. I think you've identified the right guys that could be due for a promotion.

    I'd like to see Hamilton, Lutz, Vidal and Cingrani in AA by midseason.

    To make room, I'd like to see Henry Rodriguez and DiDi Gregorius in Louisville. Maybe Cody Puckett and Ryan LaMarre too, although I'm less concerned about them. LaMarre will be 24 years old this year and has a career OPS of .734 in the minor leagues. Unless he finally starts to get some power, he is looking like more of a suspect, and his presence shouldn't block the Reds from moving Hamilton to CF, if that's what they decide what they want to do.
    Go BLUE!!!

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    Re: Donald Lutz

    This just seems like lazy analysis to me. The guy has not played very long and did very well in the MW League last year, was protected, and looked great in the Futures game. Obviously he didn't talk to Reds scouts.
    Lutz has snuck up on people. Didn't even make Baseball America's top 30 Reds prospects. I think Goldstein will be surprised, too.
    "Baseball is a very, very complex business. It's more of a people business than most businesses." - Bob Castellini


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