I thought I read somewhere that the Reds were gonna try and move this kid to LF. But everytime they give and update on reds live they list him at 1st. Just curious, looks like the kid can rake would hate to lose him because hes blocked at 1st.
I thought I read somewhere that the Reds were gonna try and move this kid to LF. But everytime they give and update on reds live they list him at 1st. Just curious, looks like the kid can rake would hate to lose him because hes blocked at 1st.
Right now, Bakersfield doesn't really have a first baseman and they have a glut of outfielders. Lutz is still playing out there though at times. Last night he made two errors in the outfield. He has the speed to play out there, but he has a long way to go with the rest of learning the position. When Dominic D'Anna comes back from the DL, I would expect Lutz to move to the outfield full time (or nearly full time).
Here are Lutz' totals for 2010, 2011 & thusfar this year.
I like that his power has come on while improving his average and maintaining fairly high Slashes.
How concerned should we be in his BB/K numbers going forward?
Billings (2010)
AB: 203 BB: 21 (10.3%) K: 45 (22.1%) ,286/.356/,478/.834
Dayton (2011)
AB: 465 BB: 34 ( 7.3%) K: 125 (26.9%) .301/,358/492/.850
Bakersfield (2012)
AB: 112 BB: 9 ( 8.0%) K: 25 (22.3%) .304/.352/.643/.995
You really should calculate K and BB rates by using PA's and not AB's. Gives a much better picture.
But Lutz is one of those guys who is not good in the plate discipline department, but isn't real bad. It is something that is worth keeping an eye on with him, but nothing something that at this point in time is something to be overly concerned about.
Went to the Reds versus futures game. Lutz absolutely killed the ball. Almost took Mike Leake's head off on a come backer up the middle. Also hit a homer to center. Has only played baseball for 5 years iirc.
It was more to right center than center.
He was the most impressive guy in batting practice of the minor league guys. He was hitting line drives that off the bat I swear were 'single' type hits and they were going into the seats. It was very impressive. Lutz has only been playing since he was around 14 or 15. He is 23 now, so it is more like 8-9 years. Still incredibly young in terms of playing time for his age though.
Hamilton, Lutz, and possibly Vidal need to be moved up in the next month. They have nothing left to prove in high A. And Bakersfield has 3 of the top 3 of the top 7 California League starting pitchers by e.r.a. (Cingrani, Rogers, Lotzkar). Might as well move Cingrani up too.
Move Hamilton and Lutz to OF permanently.
Maybe not in the next month, but probably by the All-Star Break, assuming they continue to produce at these levels. I think you've identified the right guys that could be due for a promotion.
I'd like to see Hamilton, Lutz, Vidal and Cingrani in AA by midseason.
To make room, I'd like to see Henry Rodriguez and DiDi Gregorius in Louisville. Maybe Cody Puckett and Ryan LaMarre too, although I'm less concerned about them. LaMarre will be 24 years old this year and has a career OPS of .734 in the minor leagues. Unless he finally starts to get some power, he is looking like more of a suspect, and his presence shouldn't block the Reds from moving Hamilton to CF, if that's what they decide what they want to do.
Go BLUE!!!
Lutz has snuck up on people. Didn't even make Baseball America's top 30 Reds prospects. I think Goldstein will be surprised, too.This just seems like lazy analysis to me. The guy has not played very long and did very well in the MW League last year, was protected, and looked great in the Futures game. Obviously he didn't talk to Reds scouts.
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