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Thread: Can Joey Votto hit .500...

  1. #46
    OlafTheBlack Dan's Avatar
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    Re: Can Joey Votto hit .500...

    Not quite a .500 average, but Rod Carew went .486/.538/.775/1.313 in June 1977. That's the year he batted .388.

    Ted Williams in 1957 at the age of 38 went .522/.619/.957/1.575 from Jul 11 - Aug 9.
    Sabermetrics is this: A batter's goal is to extend the inning. Extend enough innings and you're going to score runs. Extend more innings than your opponent and you're going to score more runs than him.

    Forget the rain. It's never an official game until the Reds piss away a run between third base and home plate. - Bluegrass Redleg

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  3. #47
    Member RedLegsToday's Avatar
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    Re: Can Joey Votto hit .500...

    I checked the year Ted hit .406, he didn't come particularly close to .500 over any one month, so, I didn't check any deeper. didn't even think to check his .388 season.

    If you stretch it out to August 18, I get him to 56-112.
    Last edited by RedLegsToday; 06-20-2012 at 05:53 PM.

  4. #48
    Stat Wanker Hodiernus RedsManRick's Avatar
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    Re: Can Joey Votto hit .500...

    Quote Originally Posted by RedLegsToday View Post
    If you take the 3 last games of May and the first game of July, Rodriguez hit 51-102!

    Masonbuzz, whatever made you think to check Ivan Rodriguez?

    I suppose that these long .500 hitting streaks are a little more frequent than I had thought.
    Right; our general inability to look at every possible arbitrary set of end points makes us think these kinds of things are rare when they just so happen to occur within the arbitrary bounds we like to look at.

    The question in our head is: How many times has a player gotten hits in 50% or more of his at bats over the course of any selection of 100 or more consecutive at bats?

    If you limit it to months, since that's one way we can get close, you miss out on every other sequence of 100+ at bats -- which is the vast majority of them. The hunt and peck method will never turn up the non-HOFer who who hit .517 from April 17th through May 23rd during a season in which he hit just .298 due to a crazy slump in July. Until and unless we've looked at all of the possibilities, it's not fair to say how rare the occurrence is.

    But that's a really hard question for a fan to answer, even us statheads, using the easily accessible tools. Where's Elias when you need them?

    Of course, hunt and peck can sure be a lot of fun. In 1920, Babe Ruth put up an OPS of 1.540 in June, followed by 1.581 in July.
    Last edited by RedsManRick; 06-20-2012 at 06:48 PM.
    Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.


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