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Thread: Didi Gregorius

  1. #16
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Cozart at 3B isn't nearly good enough offensively to offset his (probable) good glove.

    The Reds are going to need to make a decision between Cozart and Gregorius within the next year or so. If Hamilton continues to hit like he has the past season and a half, they may need to revisit that decision shortly thereafter.


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  3. #17
    Back from my hiatus Mario-Rijo's Avatar
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by Scrap Irony View Post
    Cozart at 3B isn't nearly good enough offensively to offset his (probable) good glove.

    The Reds are going to need to make a decision between Cozart and Gregorius within the next year or so. If Hamilton continues to hit like he has the past season and a half, they may need to revisit that decision shortly thereafter.
    Which is partly why I was against re-signing BP to such an extension. A Didi & Cozart MIF is potentially pretty good and would allow us to pick up a guy like Chase Headley to play 3B going forward.
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by Mario-Rijo View Post
    Which is partly why I was against re-signing BP to such an extension. A Didi & Cozart MIF is potentially pretty good and would allow us to pick up a guy like Chase Headley to play 3B going forward.
    Hmmm. BP is making that extension look pretty good with his recent surge. Dude just continues to get it done. I mean, we are talking about probably one of the top 3 or 4 second basemen in mlb aren't we, with BP?

  5. #19
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by Vottomatic View Post
    Hmmm. BP is making that extension look pretty good with his recent surge. Dude just continues to get it done. I mean, we are talking about probably one of the top 3 or 4 second basemen in mlb aren't we, with BP?
    Yeah, meanwhile Cozart is falling on his face so far. No way I'm gonna be handwringing about having Brandon Phillips instead of Zack Cozart.

  6. #20
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Cozart will probably be worth 2.5 - 3 wins above replacement come the end of his rookie season. That's pretty darned good. He would probably seem even better if he wasn't batting leadoff.

    I think it would be very premature at this point to say that Gregorius would be better than Cozart.

  7. #21
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by fearofpopvol1 View Post
    Cozart will probably be worth 2.5 - 3 wins above replacement come the end of his rookie season. That's pretty darned good. He would probably seem even better if he wasn't batting leadoff.

    I think it would be very premature at this point to say that Gregorius would be better than Cozart.
    It is premature. But 2.5 wins isn't a guy you aren't looking to replace with a better option if you can either, and that was the point most are trying to make, I believe. Cozart is a Major Leaguer, but he isn't someone who has earned the right to get leeway of not being replaced either. He isn't that good and probably won't be given that he is going to be 27 in two weeks.

  8. #22
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    It is premature. But 2.5 wins isn't a guy you aren't looking to replace with a better option if you can either, and that was the point most are trying to make, I believe. Cozart is a Major Leaguer, but he isn't someone who has earned the right to get leeway of not being replaced either. He isn't that good and probably won't be given that he is going to be 27 in two weeks.
    Cozart may be a 3 win player in his rookie season. When was the last time the Reds had an everyday SS worth at least 3 wins above replacement? Felipe Lopez in 2005? You really think Didi would top that? And in his rookie year? I don't. The Reds cannot afford to be patient either, as their window is over the next few years.

  9. #23
    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by fearofpopvol1 View Post
    Cozart may be a 3 win player in his rookie season. When was the last time the Reds had an everyday SS worth at least 3 wins above replacement? Felipe Lopez in 2005? You really think Didi would top that? And in his rookie year? I don't. The Reds cannot afford to be patient either, as their window is over the next few years.
    I am not sure what the Reds having someone else do that has to do with looking for a better option.

    Do I think Didi could top a 3 win season? Yes, I do. Do I think he could do it in his rookie season? Depends on when that season took place. Next year? Probably not, but maybe. 2014? Could be.

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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    I am not sure what the Reds having someone else do that has to do with looking for a better option.

    Do I think Didi could top a 3 win season? Yes, I do. Do I think he could do it in his rookie season? Depends on when that season took place. Next year? Probably not, but maybe. 2014? Could be.
    The point is that the Reds could not afford to be patient with Didi as he'd likely goes through his rookie pains. There'd be no way of knowing if Didi could outperform Cozart until he's actually called up. I think the Reds (and rightfully so) would go with the surer thing in Cozart. This of course assumes that Cozart remains healthy.

    I think it's a huge leap to think that Didi will be better than Cozart at The Show. There are currently only 9 shortstops in all of the majors worth more wins than Cozart in 2012. And he's a rookie.

  11. #25
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Something to consider is that the Reds may need both Didi and Cozart. With Didi being a slick fielder who can hit from the left side, he seems the perfect guy to form a tandem with Cozart and Phillips. They all have glove. Cozart is pretty splitty and would be a better player if he was less exposed to tough RHP. Give him day or two off each week against the right pitchers with Didi playing and the overall production from the position would be improved without any drop defensively. Add that Phillips is heading into his 30s and will probably slow down as well and Didi could see a start or two each week at 2B as well. I don't see any reason why Didi couldn't be a very valuable 300 PA per year player in the MI while making both Cozart and Phillips more effective than they would be other wise. Given Phillips age and the contract that will keep him here, I think the need for a guy like Didi who can provide 300 PAs in he MI will show itself by 2014 when Didi is ready to assume that role. By then, Phillips will be in his age 32 season. After a couple of seasons of that, Cozart will be heading deeper into his arb years and it may be time for Didi to take over full-time at SS with Cozart moving on and the next kid in line assuming the back-up MI role.

    Meanwhile, lets hope Hamilton can man CF and be the top of the order presence we all hope. I don't really see it anywhere else in the organization.
    Last edited by mth123; 07-28-2012 at 04:26 AM.
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  12. #26
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by OesterPoster View Post
    How is Didi's spray chart? I can't remember Cozart hitting a ball to right field for a hit this year (maybe I missed it), so I was just wondering if Didi uses the entire field. I realize he's only a rookie, but Cozart sure swings at a LOT of pitches, seems to be immune to taking a walk, and he pulls everything. Just seems like he's going to need some adjustments when pitchers throw everything away to him.
    Just wanna mention that about 17% of Cozart's hits are to right and 31% are to center.
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  13. #27
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by mth123 View Post
    Something to consider is that the Reds may need both Didi and Cozart. With Didi being a slick fielder who can hit from the left side, he seems the perfect guy to form a tandem with Cozart and Phillips. They all have glove. Cozart is pretty splitty and would be a better player if he was less exposed to tough RHP. Give him day or two off each week against the right pitchers with Didi playing and the overall production from the position would be improved without any drop defensively. Add that Phillips is heading into his 30s and will probably slow down as well and Didi could see a start or two each week at 2B as well. I don't see any reason why Didi couldn't be a very valuable 300 PA per year player in the MI while making both Cozart and Phillips more effective than they would be other wise. Given Phillips age and the contract that will keep him here, I think the need for a guy like Didi who can provide 300 PAs in he MI will show itself by 2014 when Didi is ready to assume that role. By then, Phillips will be in his age 32 season. After a couple of seasons of that, Cozart will be heading deeper into his arb years and it may be time for Didi to take over full-time at SS with Cozart moving on and the next kid in line assuming the back-up MI role.

    Meanwhile, lets hope Hamilton can man CF and be the top of the order presence we all hope. I don't really see it anywhere else in the organization.
    I agree totally here. A lefty batting MI is exactly what the Reds need to boost production vs. RHP. I'd love to see him in there vs. guys like Valdez, Willie Harris. If he can make the jump to big league team...he could bolster the bench.

  14. #28
    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by fearofpopvol1 View Post
    The point is that the Reds could not afford to be patient with Didi as he'd likely goes through his rookie pains. There'd be no way of knowing if Didi could outperform Cozart until he's actually called up. I think the Reds (and rightfully so) would go with the surer thing in Cozart. This of course assumes that Cozart remains healthy.

    I think it's a huge leap to think that Didi will be better than Cozart at The Show. There are currently only 9 shortstops in all of the majors worth more wins than Cozart in 2012. And he's a rookie.
    Cozart is going to be in his prime season next year. It isn't like he is 23. He probably isn't going to be any better than he is right now. I don't really find it to be a huge leap to suggest that Didi can be a 3-4 win player at some point in his career. Plus defense, good contact rates, 10-15 home runs.

  15. #29
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    Quote Originally Posted by dougdirt View Post
    Cozart is going to be in his prime season next year. It isn't like he is 23. He probably isn't going to be any better than he is right now. I don't really find it to be a huge leap to suggest that Didi can be a 3-4 win player at some point in his career. Plus defense, good contact rates, 10-15 home runs.
    fop isn't saying a nebulous "some time," doug. He's talking about the window of competitiveness over the next three years or so. (And especially next season.) His opinion is that Jocketty and company won't want to trust a rookie SS to possibly outperform a 3.0 WAR player. He'd have to have a monster Spring Training AND Cozart would have to struggle big time for that to happen.

  16. #30
    Sprinkles are for winners dougdirt's Avatar
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    Re: Didi Gregorius

    From Baseball America yesterday:

    With Zack Cozart playing a solid shortstop for the first-place Reds, there's no need for DiDi Gregorius any time soon, but the 22-year-old ought to make Cincinnati's decision interesting when he's ready.


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