-Ondrusek to AAA (off 25)……..Hoover to Reds (on 25)
This makes too much sense as Hoover and Ondrusek are both RHP’s and Hoover is simply a better pitcher. Ondrusek stays on 40 and can be kept there, but there’s no point in keeping he and Jordan Smith both on the 40. I’ll get to that later.
-Bray DFA’d (off 25 & 40)……..Joseph to Reds (added to 25 & 40). Sidenote: Joseph will need to be added to 40 by next Rule V.
Bray was solid in ’10 and ’11, so this one is up to the Reds to decide if it is time to part ways. I just have a feeling the time is near.
-When Votto is off DL (back on 25)…………….Cairo DFA’d (off 25 & 40)………(Navarro added to 40 for Sept. call-up/possible playoff roster).
This one is a tough one for me. I’m not sure it happens. Cairo is a strong clubhouse presence and this might mess with team chemistry, which is fine right now (team winning). The practical move would be to release Cairo, but these ARE human beings so I’m not sure it will happen. If not, Xavier Paul can simply be sent back down to AAA-LOU when Votto comes off the DL. Does Paul have options? If not, it might make the decision to let Cairo go a little easier.
Expendables from the 40 (between now and the next Rule V):
-As mentioned above, Bray and Cairo (for Joseph and Navarro).
-Mike Costanzo – with Xavier Paul’s LH bat and HRod now healthy and close, no need for Costanzo.
-Jordan Smith – poor man’s Ondrusek is redundant and not even getting it done in AAA.
-Andrew Brackman – Reclamation project should be over soon.
-Chris Valaika – HRod also makes him expendable.
-Kris Negron – Janish gone, but Gregorius makes him expendable.
-Denis Phipps – been in the system a long, long time (’04 signing) and OPS’ing .609 in AAA. Was his 2011 just an aberration????
Possibly removed from the 40 (between end of season and the next Rule V):
-Scott Rolen – will play out the season, but will not be with the Reds in 2013.
-Miguel Cairo – even if kept down the stretch, will be gone by the offseason, opening up another spot on 40.
-Ryan Ludwick – will he be brought back? Based on the Reds history with these types of decisions (Gomes, Cairo, etc., etc.), I bet so.
-Ryan Madson – currently not on the 40 (60-DL). Will he be re-signed? Hopefully so.
-Nick Massett – like Madson, not currently on 40 (60-day DL), but unlike Madson is signed for next year. Unless his injury is career-threatening, he’ll be back.
-Wilson Valdez – mini-Cairo is arb eligible with 4.096 yrs service time heading into 2013. Does Gregorius take his spot or will Didi need regular AB’s in AAA?
-Xavier Paul – low risk, potential high reward scrap heap pick-up. So far I think he deserves a chance. His AAA numbers are nice (of course, so were Larson’s).
-Todd Redmond – insurance in case a starter goes down. Not sure how many options he has remaining. That would be a factor.
Players added to 40 (between now and Rule V):
-As mentioned above, Joseph and Navarro (for Bray and Cairo).
-Billy Hamilton – doesn’t have to be added even this offseason, but if the Reds want to see him for a Sept call-up, will need to be added sooner.
-Tony Cingrani – same as Hamilton, but less likely to see Sept call-up.
-Daniel Corcino - will need to be added to 40 in offseason at the latest (Rule V).
-Juan Carlos Sulbaran – Signed in ’08, but is only in his 4th year playing. I think (not sure) he’ll need added this offseason (Rule V).
Others I think are eligible for the next Rule V:
-Brian Pearl – was having solid year in high-A Bakersfield, but is struggling in Pensacola (AA). 10.4 career K/9, 2.8 career BB/9.
-Curtis Partch – reports are that he’s cranking up the FB into the mid 90’s. Pitching well in Pensacola (AA). 6.8 career K/9, 3.3 career BB/9.
-Mark Serrano – old-timer (will be 27 in Sept.) pitching very well in Pensacola (AA). 8.8 career K/9, 2.8 career BB/9
-Travis Mattair – Great glove 3rd base prospect and former 2nd round pick by PHI (’07) who took a year off to play hoops for Boise St. in 2010. Still only 23, having career year in high A. Always had glove, need to develop bat. Is he product of PCL?
-Juan Duran - ranked #12 in pre-season by RedsZone (#16 BP, #19 Sickels)
-Theo Bowe – having career year in high-A Bakersfield. 50 SB’s between Dayton and Bakersfield and 2nd fastest guy in the system behind you-know-who.
-Yorman Rodriguez – ranked #7 in pre-season by RedsZone (#11 BP, #9 Sickels), Rebounding in low A Dayton after horrendous start in Bakerfield.
-Tim Crabbe - ranked #21 in pre-season by RedsZone (#14 Sickels).
-Drew Hayes - ranked #35 in pre-season by RedsZone.
-Chris Manno - ranked #37 in pre-season by RedsZone.
-Josh Ravin – 7th year in the Reds system.