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Thread: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

  1. #91
    Member cincrazy's Avatar
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    That's a play that isn't made when BP is out with his calf troubles. A lot of those balls got through that wouldn't have normally made it through.

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  3. #92
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Frazier pops out to 2nd.

  4. #93
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Valdez flies out to center.

  5. #94
    Et tu, Brutus? Brutus's Avatar
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by Homer Bailey View Post
    Wait, the pitcher only got two outs right? Why is the inning over?

    Oh yeah.... we literally gave them an out. Right.
    The Reds increased their chance of scoring a run by 13% with that bunt. If they'd had a normal at-bat and Stubbs had struck out, they would have decreased by 10%. That's a 23% swing by giving up the out there.
    "No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda

  6. #95
    Boom Goes the Dynamite Screwball's Avatar
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by Reds Fanatic View Post
    Valdez flies out to center.
    Not quite to the warning track in center. And not trying to pile on the guy (even though I will anyway), but I honestly think that's as far as he can hit a ball.

  7. #96
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Hanigan doubles off the wall in right.

  8. #97
    Red's fan mbgrayson's Avatar
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    We need to get these doubles all in the SAME inning....
    __________________
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  9. #98
    I'm gettin paper Homer Bailey's Avatar
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by Brutus View Post
    The Reds increased their chance of scoring a run by 13% with that bunt. If they'd had a normal at-bat and Stubbs had struck out, they would have decreased by 10%. That's a 23% swing by giving up the out there.
    Their win expectancy decreased with that bunt. The point is that the goal shouldn't be to score one run. It should be to avoid outs. It's silly to chase 1 run in the 3rd inning.

  10. #99
    Haunted by walks
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Mets announcers say the possibility of R.A. Dickey winning the Cy Young would be the highlight of the rest of their season.

  11. #100
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Dbacks-Cards, Dodgers-Pirates no score.

  12. #101
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Walk to Latos. 1st and 2nd.

  13. #102
    Red's fan mbgrayson's Avatar
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by BCubb2003 View Post
    Mets announcers say the possibility of R.A. Dickey winning the Cy Young would be the highlight of the rest of their season.
    We need to hammer him to help our guy's chances....
    __________________
    "I think he'd be unbelievable. He's as organized as anyone in the game, he holds people accountable... He doesn't buy into stereotypical things in the game... Price looks at evidence. He's a freaking smart guy, he makes his decision on reasonable evidence." Bronson Arroyo

  14. #103
    Et tu, Brutus? Brutus's Avatar
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Quote Originally Posted by Homer Bailey View Post
    Their win expectancy decreased with that bunt. The point is that the goal shouldn't be to score one run. It should be to avoid outs. It's silly to chase 1 run in the 3rd inning.
    Their run expectancy increased by .3 with a runner at third and one out as opposed to a runner at second and one out. Granted, there's always the chance Stubbs could have reached base, but given his low OBP and propensity to strikeout, I would say that's statistically the correct call.
    "No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda

  15. #104
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    Cozart flies out to right. 0-0 after 4.

    Through 4: Mets have left 6 runners on base, Reds have left 7 runners on base.

  16. #105
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    Re: 8-14-2012 Mets at Reds

    This is a LOB fest for the Reds. I didn't love the bunt, but the team has had many chances to score. Including man on third less than two outs when Phillips and Ludwick left the man on.

    Key is for Latos to hold the fort, Reds will break through.

    P.S. guess it is a LOB fest for the Mets too. But that's not my prob.


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