In a column tonight, he writes that Homer's road ERA (2.41) is second-best in all of baseball, and he would start Bailey as the second starter in the playoffs to take advantage of that.
http://espn.go.com/blog/sweetspot/po...another-weapon
I have been harping on this for a few weeks, but I'll repeat it: if the Reds don't take advantage of this, I'd personally rather have Leake start in Cincinnati than Bailey. However, I think Bailey starting on the road is the optimal situation, as Cueto has a 2.80 ERA in Cincinnati (the presumption here is that Latos is lights out in San Francisco so he should start game one, though one can't argue with Cueto either).