Common sense is knowing your personnel and knowing what, if anything, is wrong and what their breaking point is.
Dusty is far more equipped to knowing what is wrong with Chapman and when to pull him than fans sitting in front of a computer reading radar graphics.
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda
The thing that really worries you about Chapman is this is three times in a row the velocity is down. If it was one night you could maybe say he couldn't get loose in the cooler weather or something like that.
As far as examples, there are decades worth of baseball at one's disposal to know that pitchers go through periods where their velocity will fluctuate. It's not a static thing. It's not common for it to drop suddenly over the course of a large sample, but over a few games... that's not really uncommon.
Wile we're debating Chapman's velocity, Hanigan just had a heck of an at bat.
The contents of this post may be disseminated without the express written consent of the Cincinnati Reds or Major League Baseball.
Cincinnati's premiere expedited trucking company