Last edited by RedsManRick; 10-17-2012 at 09:33 PM.
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance.
I'm happy with what we got out of Ludwick this year for 2/3 of the year, but the 1/3 was so butt ugly, I'm not sure I buy into the risk that we see more than 1/3 of the 1/3 next year.
I'm looking for some serious turnover in the outfield this offseason. There is nothing in the system ready to step in, so WJ's offseason slobberknocker this season should focus on the outfield.
Take Stubbs and do a change of scenery deal. Find someone who thinks they can fix him. Atlanta is going to be looking for a CFer with Bourne heading out. Texas might kick the tires. Houston, but they don't have much to send back.
Put Heisey, Leake, and Arredondo in a package might get a fair return to fill a hole also, considering the haul we got for Sappelt, Wood, and Torreyes last year.
But Ludwick, appreciated his tear while Votto was out, but I'm not sure I trust his production for another full season at cleanup.
Can't win with 'em
Can't win without 'em
Ludwick's attractiveness is that he fills the cleanup spot relatively cheaply. If he's too expensive, the Reds might as well explore the free agent and trade markets.
The Reds need to leave some money available for a lead off hitter. They can't overspend on Ludwick.
I am firmly in the Let Him Walk camp. If Choo is in LF on Opening Day I would be a very happy man.
"Losing feels worse than winning feels good." -Vin Scully
Not too worried about this. Let him leave. Mutual option, right? If I'm Walt I may not have picked it up even if he wanted to stay. Ludwick had a good 2nd half and a nice chunk as to why the Reds were 1st in the division. I don't necessarily think he's a bad player or that 34 is old (says the guy on the wrong side of...), but I really think this offense needs to be turned in a direction that involves guys who can put the ball in play and get on base. I don't think that just replacing CF is enough, which leaves only one other possible position to change - LF (or 3B depending on Frazier's home). I'd pay 6 - 9 million/year, hey it's not my money, but not for Ryan. Thanks, you were a good Red, now go sign with Texas.
This place use to be fun
That said, I think it's too early to assume that declining the option means he won't end up in Cincinnati next season. Jocketty has shown that declined options on either end doesn't preclude a team from hammering out a deal. The market will obviously determine whether the Reds can make a decent offer without assuming too much risk.
"No matter how good you are, you're going to lose one-third of your games. No matter how bad you are you're going to win one-third of your games. It's the other third that makes the difference." ~Tommy Lasorda
Not too many 34+ year olds are productive middle of the lineup bats, and Ludwick doesn't fit the profile of the few that do.
Thank him and let him walk.
"Man, the pitch looks fast, even in slow motion." Thom Brennaman on Chapman's fastball.