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#1 |
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Where's my chair?
Join Date: Apr 2000
Posts: 19,883
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Cleveland's LH starter Cliff Lee, anyone?
I know the guy had a horrible year in 2007, but before this year, he was considered one of the better LH starting pitchers in the league.
I'm pretty sure that Cleveland is returning it's entire rotation next year. I doubt Lee is in their plans. He might make a great reclamation project. His salary was 3 million this year. He is arb eligible, but he's unlikely to get a huge raise. I'm not positive, but I think if the Reds traded for them, they'd have him for 2008 and 2009 before free agency. He only turns 30 next year. If Lee can regain form, he's a solid #2/3.. If he flops -- well, he's a relatively inexpensive veteran for the back of the rotation. I like his chances of putting up numbers at least as good as some of the FA starters (like Lohse and Silva). Another thing I like about Lee is that he is an innings eater, which reduces the strain on our pen.. In 2006 and 2005, he pitched over 200 innings. In 2004, he had 179 IP.
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Thank you Walt and Bob for going for it in 2012 AND 2013! ![]() Nov. 13, 2007: One of the greatest days in Reds history: John Allen gets the boot!
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#2 |
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Stat Wanker Hodiernus
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 14,988
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
I'd want to know a lot more about his diving K/9. His control is solid, but he's a flyball pitcher who isn't missing as many bats as he used to. He allowed 1.57 HR/9 in 2007.
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Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance. |
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#3 |
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Member
Join Date: Jun 2001
Posts: 8,661
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
I'd offer Freel for him, see if they bite. He could play 2B or OF for them.
The salary would be a wash and I'd rather have a lefthanded pitching spare part than an outfield spare part.
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Go BLUE!!! Last edited by Benihana; 10-17-2007 at 10:35 AM. |
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#4 |
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Waitin til next year
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Cincinnati
Posts: 9,650
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
How about this deal. Edwin for John Lester. The BoSox are probably going to be in the market for a 3B and they have a glut of pitching. I dont even know if Lester cracks the starting staff with Buckholtz coming back next season. This would give the reds another young arm and moves Keppy into a starting roll at 3b.
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#5 | |
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Member
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Cincinnati
Posts: 3,731
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
Quote:
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#6 |
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Member
Join Date: Jun 2001
Posts: 8,661
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
Agreed. The Sox are not trading Jon Lester, unless the return includes Bruce. He'll be in the rotation along with Buchholz.
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Go BLUE!!! |
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#7 |
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The Lineups stink.
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: West N. Carolina
Posts: 55,349
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
I'm not a fan of getting Lee at that sort of money, Freel would make the cahs about even but then when/if Lee is a bust all we have is squat
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Go Gators! |
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#8 |
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Member
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Cincinnati
Posts: 3,731
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
Freel for Lee would be a steal. Freel's ceiling has long past. The opportunity to get any pitching for Freel would be great. Freel is also expendible with Hoppers emergance. Hop seems to be a bit more stable health wise. Do it in a second.
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#9 |
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Waitin til next year
Join Date: Dec 2006
Location: Cincinnati
Posts: 9,650
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
I agree that Freel is very expendible and is well past his prime but don't you think other GM's would know that? I think Freel right now has a negative trade value and the only way you are going to move him is in a package.
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#10 |
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Member
Join Date: Jun 2001
Posts: 8,661
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
Perhaps. But Freel addresses the biggest holes in the Cleveland lineup (2B and OF). Like I said, see if they bite.
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Go BLUE!!! |
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#11 |
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Member
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: New York, NY
Posts: 8,696
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
I don't see anyway the Indians would trade a slumping Lee for a past his prime Freel. I just don't. I think they can do better than that. I think the offer would have to be better than Freel.
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#12 |
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Where's my chair?
Join Date: Apr 2000
Posts: 19,883
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
I agree that Freel for Lee would be a steal for the Reds.
I also agree that since Freel is injured and owed something like 7 million over the next 2 years, he is worth very little (if anything) on the trade market. Also, when Freel was healthy, he did not perform well. I never liked giving Freel an extension. Freel is a utility man/4th OF, not a key cog on the team. Plus, the extension was unlikely to save us any money. Bottom line is that if Freel positioned himself to get a big arb raise, you just trade him off or DFA him. (The odds of that happening were real low). The guy was a huge injury risk. Dumb move by Wayne. I think that since pitching is in short supply, Lee would attract interest from other teams as well. What might work: Coffey and a couple of B prospects (one project for another). I don't know how much the Indians would like Coffey. Since the Indians are loaded right now, they might be willing to gamble on some Reds prospects that have a longer horizon. Shapario is always looking forward as well as the present (The Crisp trade, for example). That is actually an advantage of dealing with the Indians. They are a contender that really doesn't need that much immediate help, so they may be willing to trade excess ML talent without getting ML talent in return. It all depends on how much they've sowered on Lee. Speaking of which, the Reds should probe them about Sowers as well. I doubt the Indians have given up on him, but it doesn't hurt to ask.
__________________
Thank you Walt and Bob for going for it in 2012 AND 2013! ![]() Nov. 13, 2007: One of the greatest days in Reds history: John Allen gets the boot!
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#13 |
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Member
Join Date: Jun 2001
Posts: 8,661
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
Fine, throw in Juan Francisco. He has a power bat that would have to pique the interest of the Cleveland brass.
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Go BLUE!!! |
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#14 |
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Posting in Dynarama
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Boston
Posts: 26,809
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
Dependent on what your scouts tell you about his mechanics (which could tip off larger health concerns), Lee could be a solid #4 guy (180+ IP, 4.50 or better ERA). He's a flyball pitcher, but he makes hitters miss and he could get a boost coming over to the weak sister NL. Ted Lilly's a flyball pitcher who had some questionable spots on his resume as well and he adapted just fine last fine to life on the Senior Circuit. The upside on Lee is you don't have to break the bank of a FA contract to get him. The right prospect or complimentary piece in the majors should do the trick.
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Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong I'm witchcrafting everybody. |
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#15 | |
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Stat Wanker Hodiernus
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 14,988
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Re: Cliff Lee, anyone?
Quote:
It's going to be very hard to get much more for any less.
__________________
Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance. |
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