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Old 02-07-2007, 04:16 PM   #1
maniem
Marty Moose!!
 
Join Date: Feb 2002
Location: Carmel, IN
Posts: 194
2007 Stat predictions

Forgive me if there's already been a thread started for this, but I thought it would be fun for everyone to predict stats for the projected opening day 25 man roster. I know the PECOTA projections are out there, but these are just my gut feeling. So here it goes:

Code:
                     G     HR RBI  SB AVG  OBP  SLG   OPS
Denorfia              110  12  43  20 .260 .345  .420  .765   
Hatteberg             110  9   44   2  .255 .368  .430  .798   
Dunn                  154  43 105  4  .250 .388  .540  .928
Encarnacion           144  23  92   7  .285 .365  .490  .855
Griffey               125  32  90  0  .272  .340  .505  .845
Ross                  100  15  42  0  .244  .320  .460  .780
Phillips              145  14  65  30 .258  .318  .415  .733
Gonzalez              147  12  60  3  .249  .302  .396  .698 

Freel                  110   6   25  30 .270  .355 .388  .743
Conine                 55   5   27   0  .245  .320 .360  .680
Valentin               75   10  30  0   .255  .315 .440  .755
Castro                 50    3   14  1   .240  .285 .380  .665
Bellhorn               40    5    15  0  .225   .290 .425  .715

Code:
             IP    W  L    K  BB  ERA  S
Harang       215   15  9  195 55  3.50 0
Arroyo       230   16 10  166 60  3.88 0
Lohse        170    9  12 130 75  4.75 0
Milton       160    11 10 130 66  4.90 0
Saarloos     120    5  9   55  40  5.35 0
Bailey        80    4  5   65  40  4.40 0 (Midseason callup)

Coffey       75     3  5   60   25 3.40 8
Bray         55     3  3   45   20 3.82 5
Stanton      52     3  4   40   25 4.10 12
Weathers     66     4  2   47   30 4.30 14
Majewski     55     2  5   39   22 4.85 0
Belisle      45     2  2   35   28 3.85 0
Cormier      35     1  4   20   15 5.35 0
I expect Hatteberg, Ross, and Phillips to regress, while I expect bounce back years from Dunn and Griffey (probably wishful thinking). If Deno gets the playing time, I think he'll out-perform Freel. I'm hoping Harang and Arroyo stay consistent and Milton and Lohse will improve slightly. (That might be a stretch, but i don't think it's out of the realm of possibility) When all said is done, i'd expect around 77-78 wins for 2007.
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