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03-28-2007, 12:25 PM
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#91 |
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A Lost Ball In High Weeds
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: Dunbar, WV
Posts: 630
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
85 wins...good enough for 3rd place (again) in the NL Central
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"I don't want to embarrass any other catcher by comparing him to Johnny Bench." Sparky Anderson |
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03-28-2007, 01:10 PM
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#92 |
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The wino and I know
Join Date: Aug 2000
Location: NW OHIO
Posts: 3,038
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
I'm in for 84 with a 10% error range
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"I'm virtually free to do whatever I want, but I try to remember so is everybody else..." - Todd Snider |
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03-28-2007, 01:15 PM
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#93 |
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Member
Join Date: Apr 2000
Location: Jacksonville, FL
Posts: 9,228
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
Krivsky's retooling continues as he took team from 73 wins to 80 in first season. And takes it another 8 games this year to 88. Solid offensively across the board with exception of 1b, which will be below league average. Great subs available at OF in Hamilton and Denorfia.
Bullpen should be strength as there are plenty of qualified guys, and the natural sifting process will eliminate any weak ones and replace them with strong ones. Two great starters, and a cast of potential 3-5 guys (Milton, Lohse, Belisle, Saarlos, Livingston, Ramirez) all of whom could become at least .500 pitchers. One of the great secrets to the Krivsky success has been his unwillingness to let guys keep going out there and get torched as the prior GM had allowed. So there will be a sorting out process to figure out who stays at first. |
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03-28-2007, 01:35 PM
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#94 |
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I hate the Cubs
Join Date: Jul 2003
Posts: 5,585
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
75 wins
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Whenever you get mad over a called strike or ball on a close pitch, it's the equivalent of being mad at the QB pump-faking one time before throwing a pass in your average NFL game. ---Caveat Emperor |
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03-28-2007, 02:39 PM
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#95 |
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Member
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Redsland
Posts: 828
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
85
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03-28-2007, 03:15 PM
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#96 |
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Member
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Richmond, Indiana
Posts: 1,593
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
Below league average at 1st, 2nd, SS, CF, RF.
League average at C and 3rd. Slightly above League average at LF. Starters: league average Bullpen:league average Defense: slightly above LA. 72 wins (pythag wins). |
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03-28-2007, 05:44 PM
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#97 |
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Member
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Starkville, Mississippi
Posts: 327
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
84 wins. Division winner? I think so, by a game.
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03-28-2007, 05:48 PM
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#98 |
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Member
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Cincinnati, OH
Posts: 551
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
78 wins
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03-28-2007, 05:54 PM
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#99 |
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Licking County Settlers
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Austin, Texas
Posts: 6,174
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
I'll go the highest so far and say 98 wins......you were all counting spring training right?
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"three dimes, a one hundred dollar bill and and 87 ones..." |
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03-28-2007, 07:25 PM
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#100 |
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Member
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: West-central Ohio
Posts: 1,917
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
78 wins.
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03-28-2007, 08:08 PM
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#101 |
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Porkchop Sandwiches
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Homebase, Ohio
Posts: 2,540
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
With each day optimism grows, I better nip it in the bud quickly: 85 wins
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"I'm a Cucumber, I'm a cucumber. I'm a cucumber, I'm a cucumber. I'm a cucumber, I'm a cucumber. Please don't send me to the pickle farm, bum." - Brak Record In Games Attended, 2007: 2-1 (1-0 GAB, 1-1 Jake) |
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03-28-2007, 08:56 PM
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#102 |
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SERP Emeritus
Join Date: Jul 2001
Posts: 7,007
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
A little RZ statistical info so far with 84 predictions.
Most optimistic: 98 wins Most pessimistic: 69 wins Average prediction: 81 wins Median prediction: 82 wins
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What if this wasn't a rhetorical question? All models are wrong. Some of them are useful. |
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03-29-2007, 02:06 AM
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#103 |
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Member
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Portland, Or
Posts: 5,041
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
88 Wins
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Rob Neyer: "Any writer who says he'd be a better manager than the worst manager is either 1) lying (i.e. 'using poetic license') or 2) patently delusional. Which isn't to say managers don't do stupid things that you or I wouldn't." |
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03-29-2007, 07:40 AM
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#104 |
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Member
Join Date: May 2003
Location: Sterling VA
Posts: 7,865
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
83 Wins
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Reds Fan Since 1971 |
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03-29-2007, 12:46 PM
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#105 |
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Member
Join Date: Apr 2004
Location: Austin, TX
Posts: 225
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Re: Gonelong's 6th annual Season W/L prediction thread ...
I tend to be optimistic when it comes to the Reds in the Spring (which is strange, because I'm generally a pessimistic person), so I'm going with 84 wins. It just feels good to me.
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