RedsZone.com - Cincinnati Reds Fans' Home for Baseball Discussion WPA on FanGraphs.com

 05-30-2007, 08:08 PM #1 oneupper Danger is my business!     Join Date: Jun 2004 Location: Back in Florida Posts: 8,117 WPA on FanGraphs.com I haven't seen it posted here, but the folks at FanGraphs.com are logging and graphing WPA (Win Probability Added) for every team at their site. Here is the link for the REDS http://www.fangraphs.com/winss.aspx?...ds&season=2007 I'm quite a fan of Win Probability, so I'm excited (and surprised, it's not that easy to calculate) to see this info. Enjoy. __________________ "A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it." http://dalmady.blogspot.com
 05-30-2007, 08:13 PM #2 Sea Ray Member     Join Date: Mar 2005 Location: Cincinnati, Ohio Posts: 15,454 Re: WPA on FanGraphs.com I don't know what win probability is but I imagine it's not good when only 6 of your players are in the + category
05-30-2007, 08:19 PM   #3
oneupper

Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Back in Florida
Posts: 8,117
Re: WPA on FanGraphs.com

Quote:
 Originally Posted by Sea Ray I don't know what win probability is but I imagine it's not good when only 6 of your players are in the + category
In its most simple form, you take the win probabilty before a certain AB and after the result and attribute the difference to the batter (and pitcher).

At the end of the season the sum of the individual players WPA will equal the team's games over/under .500. (divided by 2).

It is a loose measure of "clutch".
__________________
"A person is smart. People are dumb, panicky, dangerous animals and you know it."

Last edited by oneupper; 05-30-2007 at 08:34 PM.

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