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#1 |
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Posting in Dynarama
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Boston
Posts: 26,668
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Left field defense
There's a thread over on the Sun Deck where a poster mentions seeing it written that Adam Dunn is the 5th-best defensive LF in the NL at the moment. No link is provided and it certainly goes against the mass perception of Dunn's defense.
Certainly he's no Carl Crawford out there, but he's better than he was last year. He's not elegant, nor terribly instinctive, but he can cover a decent amount of ground when he gets a bead on a ball and his arm is pretty good for the position (traditionally a weak armed position). While it might seem outrageous to think of Dunn as potentially one of the better defensive LFs in the NL, I think we forget exactly who the competition is. Here's a breakdown in two categories (solid defenders, bad defenders, the names are listed alphabetically): Solid defenders Eric Byrnes Ryan Church Jose Cruz Jr. Matt Diaz Geoff Jenkins Bad defenders Moises Alou Jason Bay Barry Bonds Pat Burrell Chris Duncan Adam Dunn Luis Gonzalez Matt Holliday Carlos Lee Alfonso Soriano Josh Willingham These are the players, who've played the most games in LF for each of the 16 teams in the NL. There really isn't a good defender in the bunch. Bonds, Duncan, Lee and Willingham probably deserve to be in their own "super awful" category. If someone was ranking defensive LFs in the NL, it's possible Diaz missed the innings cutoff, so a guy from the "bad" list certainly could have been #5. The AL has a better set of defensive LFs, but it also has Manny Ramirez, Raul Ibanez and Frank Catalanotto. My point being that when you look at who is playing the position, Dunn's a fairly standard kind of bad. I know his UZR rating for the year is low, but others are worse and my guess is varying rating systems will show that Dunn is no worse than the standard bad defensive LF, which accounts for the majority of players out there.
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Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong I'm witchcrafting everybody. |
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#2 |
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Member
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Baltimore
Posts: 8,383
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Re: Left field defense
That's probably sourced from the recent uber-Dunn defense thread that either evolved on ORG or in the Minor League forum, I forget exactly where that particular metric was discussed.
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#3 | |
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Oy Vey!
Join Date: May 2000
Location: Chicago
Posts: 3,252
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Re: Left field defense
Quote:
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#4 |
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Stat Wanker Hodiernus
Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: Chicago, IL
Posts: 14,921
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Re: Left field defense
I said it in the other post and I'll say it again here. Dunn is a poor defensive OF, but a decent defensive LF.
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Games are won on run differential -- scoring more than your opponent. Runs are runs, scored or prevented they all count the same. Worry about scoring more and allowing fewer, not which positions contribute to which side of the equation or how "consistent" you are at your current level of performance. |
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#5 |
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What Me Worry?
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Bellefontaine, Ohio
Posts: 26,421
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Re: Left field defense
Benny Agbyani was one of the worst LFers I have ever seen man the position.
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"panic" only comes from having real expectations |
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#6 | |
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Has big taste
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Pittsburgh
Posts: 6,704
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Re: Left field defense
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Pedro brought up the point a few weeks ago of how overlooked Dunn's size is. His size should be considered when evaluating every aspect of his game and it very rarely is. Hence he's inelegant, but not necessarily ineffective. It's not to say that Dunn should be allowed certain free passes due to his size -- it's a team sport and he needs to be effective for the team's sake regardless of how he gets there -- but a more thorough consideration of his size and, from a coaching standpoint, a true study of how it affects his game would allow him to be best understood and coached and most effectively used. I think he is most effectively used in left field, though.
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There is no such thing as a pitching prospect. |
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#7 |
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Member
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Portland, Or
Posts: 5,041
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Re: Left field defense
On a scale of 1-10 where 10 is given to only one, maybe 2 players in the league, and 1 is a nightmare waiting to happen on every play, Dunn is a solid 3.
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Rob Neyer: "Any writer who says he'd be a better manager than the worst manager is either 1) lying (i.e. 'using poetic license') or 2) patently delusional. Which isn't to say managers don't do stupid things that you or I wouldn't." |
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#8 |
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Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 24,098
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Re: Left field defense
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#9 | |
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What Me Worry?
Join Date: Apr 2001
Location: Bellefontaine, Ohio
Posts: 26,421
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Re: Left field defense
Quote:
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"panic" only comes from having real expectations |
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#10 | |
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Member
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Portland, Or
Posts: 5,041
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Re: Left field defense
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He is absolutely terrible. He's not Jack Cust or Joey Votto horrible, but he's bad. Has never smelled average....never will.
__________________
Rob Neyer: "Any writer who says he'd be a better manager than the worst manager is either 1) lying (i.e. 'using poetic license') or 2) patently delusional. Which isn't to say managers don't do stupid things that you or I wouldn't." |
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#11 |
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Member
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Philadelphia
Posts: 24,098
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Re: Left field defense
Let me guess: it's because when he does make a mistake he looks awkward doing it.
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#12 |
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Member
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: Portland, Or
Posts: 5,041
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Re: Left field defense
His stats this year back up your idea that he's average in LF among NL Leftfielders. So, maybe average this year is a "3" ranking on a scale of 1-10. But, I'd take a "3" in LF if my CF was at least an "8" and my 3rd baseman and SS were above average which they are.
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Rob Neyer: "Any writer who says he'd be a better manager than the worst manager is either 1) lying (i.e. 'using poetic license') or 2) patently delusional. Which isn't to say managers don't do stupid things that you or I wouldn't." |
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#13 |
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smells of rich mahogany
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: Houston, TX
Posts: 3,001
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Re: Left field defense
Just curious, has moving Griffey out of CF had a positive effect on Dunn's fielding in LF? Or at least the appearance of it?
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Nothing to see here. Please disperse. |
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#14 |
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Member
Join Date: Jul 2000
Location: Richmond, Indiana
Posts: 1,593
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Re: Left field defense
It'd help if the Reds backed him up a little and told the media that he works hard etc...
This would make him appear more valuable and it would gets the media off his back, but i think they'd rather him be the whipping boy for the team. Tend to think VPlums assessment is right on. If the guy looks like an athelete and is smooth--the average fan loves that stuff. |
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#15 | |
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HOF CLASS OF '12
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Springfield, Ohio
Posts: 8,994
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Re: Left field defense
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But I have to ask myself (mainly because of the feet) why couldn't he play 1st base? Other than the obvious answer that he simply doesn't want to. And scouts have said he is awful over there. Well heck anybody would be that just had a few innings under their belt at that position.
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2008 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports 2009 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports 2010 Reds Draft Prospect RZ Scouting Reports "You can't let praise or criticism get to you. It's a weakness to get caught up in either one." --Woody Hayes |
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