2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. - Page 5 - RedsZone.com - Cincinnati Reds Fans' Home for Baseball Discussion

Raisor · 04-01-2009, 05:01 PM

I'm going to say 75 wins.

And there was much rejoicing.

Reds Fanatic · 04-01-2009, 05:06 PM

79 wins

dabvu2498 · 04-01-2009, 05:18 PM

85-77

cincrazy · 04-01-2009, 05:18 PM

84 wins. A relatively weak division and a good rotation carries us, but the offense, while showing promise, has too many black holes to allow the team to go any further.

M2 · 04-01-2009, 05:22 PM

73-89

Tom Servo · 04-01-2009, 05:29 PM

79 wins.

Roy Tucker · 04-01-2009, 05:56 PM

I'll continue my role of Pollyanna, 3.5 sigma, and resident idiot...

93 wins.

Wooo!!!!!

Caveat Emperor · 04-01-2009, 06:04 PM

I figure this team is good for about 76 wins.

Anything more would require a giant leap forward for Jay Bruce, a career year from Willy Taveras, a breakout season from Edwin Encarnacion, and at least one major midseason acquisition.

(And, hot damn -- I never looked back to last year's prediction thread. I hit dead-on with my guess.)

Mario-Rijo · 04-01-2009, 06:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Caveat Emperor

I figure this team is good for about 76 wins.

Anything more would require a giant leap forward for Jay Bruce, a career year from Willy Taveras, a breakout season from Edwin Encarnacion, and at least one major midseason acquisition.

(And, hot damn -- I never looked back to last year's prediction thread. I hit dead-on with my guess.)

Well that's just the thing isn't it, you have to figure the unbiased odds of the likelihood of any of those things actually happening. And figure the likelihood of most other guys having a similiar year as last. I happen to think that the pitching is improved (especially that 5th hole) and the defense is as well. I also like the bench a bit better also.

I think we are in for an improvement of up to 3-5 games without a big explosion by someone. However I expect an explosion of sorts from Jay Bruce which it's hopefully not wasted by sandwiching him between BP (if he hits into a lot of DP's) and Edwin (with his amazing inconsistency).

I'll split the difference and call it a 78 win team with a ceiling of about 81-82 wins unless there is some major addition to the club at some point.

paintmered · 04-01-2009, 06:25 PM

74-88

No kool-aid this year

Red in Chicago · 04-01-2009, 06:43 PM

now that we're on the "official" prediction thread, i'm going with 78

GAC · 04-01-2009, 07:06 PM

74 wins

SirFelixCat · 04-01-2009, 07:07 PM

I want to say 87, but I'll go with what I really think:

83 wins this year and setting the team up for a run in '10!

SMcGavin · 04-01-2009, 07:22 PM

76 wins.

MWM · 04-01-2009, 07:58 PM

69-93. this team is going to be awful. And if I had to take 69 as the over/under, I'd take the under.

Please, let me be wrong!!!!

04-01-2009, 05:01 PM	#61
Raisor Member Join Date: Jun 2001 Posts: 12,681	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. I'm going to say 75 wins. And there was much rejoicing. __________________ "But I do know Joey's sister indirectly (or foster sister) and I have heard stories of Joey being into shopping, designer wear, fancy coffees, and pedicures."

04-01-2009, 05:06 PM	#62
Reds Fanatic Member Join Date: Jul 2002 Location: Piqua, OH Posts: 16,437	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. 79 wins

04-01-2009, 05:18 PM	#63
dabvu2498 Yay! Join Date: May 2006 Location: Middletown, Ohio Posts: 7,260	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. 85-77 __________________ When all is said and done more is said than done.

04-01-2009, 05:18 PM	#64
cincrazy Member Join Date: Jul 2005 Location: South Vienna, OH Posts: 4,130	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. 84 wins. A relatively weak division and a good rotation carries us, but the offense, while showing promise, has too many black holes to allow the team to go any further.

04-01-2009, 05:22 PM	#65
M2 Posting in Dynarama Join Date: Sep 2000 Location: Boston Posts: 26,668	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. 73-89 __________________ Baseball isn't a magic trick ... it doesn't get spoiled if you figure out how it works. - gonelong I'm witchcrafting everybody.

04-01-2009, 05:29 PM	#66
Tom Servo thirsty and miserable Join Date: May 2006 Location: NJ/NY Posts: 5,408	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. 79 wins. __________________ "Since I've been with the Reds in 1989, we've never had a farm system this loaded," Bowden said. "If we were the New York Yankees and had unlimited dollars, we could have traded for Colon, (Jeff) Weaver, Rolen, (Cliff) Floyd, (Kenny) Rogers and Finley and gotten them all -- and still held onto our top five prospects. That's an amazing statement."

04-01-2009, 05:56 PM	#67
Roy Tucker Be the ball Join Date: May 2001 Location: Mason, OH Posts: 11,120	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. I'll continue my role of Pollyanna, 3.5 sigma, and resident idiot... 93 wins. Wooo!!!!! __________________ The motel of lost companions Waits with heated pool and bar

04-01-2009, 06:04 PM	#68
Caveat Emperor Titanic Struggles Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: The 513 Posts: 12,134	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. I figure this team is good for about 76 wins. Anything more would require a giant leap forward for Jay Bruce, a career year from Willy Taveras, a breakout season from Edwin Encarnacion, and at least one major midseason acquisition. (And, hot damn -- I never looked back to last year's prediction thread. I hit dead-on with my guess.) __________________ Championships Matter. 22 Years and Counting... Last edited by Caveat Emperor; 04-01-2009 at 06:06 PM.

04-01-2009, 06:25 PM	#70
paintmered SERP Emeritus Join Date: Jul 2001 Posts: 7,007	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. 74-88 No kool-aid this year __________________ What if this wasn't a rhetorical question? All models are wrong. Some of them are useful.

04-01-2009, 06:43 PM	#71
Red in Chicago Oy Vey! Join Date: May 2000 Location: Chicago Posts: 3,248	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. now that we're on the "official" prediction thread, i'm going with 78

04-01-2009, 07:06 PM	#72
GAC What Me Worry? Join Date: Apr 2001 Location: Bellefontaine, Ohio Posts: 26,416	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. 74 wins __________________ "panic" only comes from having real expectations

04-01-2009, 07:07 PM	#73
SirFelixCat Member Join Date: May 2002 Location: Denver, CO Posts: 5,673	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. I want to say 87, but I'll go with what I really think: 83 wins this year and setting the team up for a run in '10! __________________ Resident Poker Pro

04-01-2009, 07:22 PM	#74
SMcGavin Member Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: Indianapolis, IN Posts: 1,483	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. 76 wins.

04-01-2009, 07:58 PM	#75
MWM Pre-tty, pre-tty good!! Join Date: Oct 2001 Posts: 12,171	Re: 2009 - Gonelong's 8th annual Season Ws prediction thread .. 69-93. this team is going to be awful. And if I had to take 69 as the over/under, I'd take the under. Please, let me be wrong!!!! __________________ Grape works as a soda. Sort of as a gum. I wonder why it doesn't work as a pie. Grape pie? There's no grape pie. - Larry David Last edited by MWM; 04-01-2009 at 08:07 PM.

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