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Old 01-11-2010, 01:09 PM   #1
Kc61
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Roster move or moves after Chapman?

Anything?
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Old 01-11-2010, 01:11 PM   #2
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

Nothing yet. I'm hoping they DFA Taveras.
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Old 01-11-2010, 01:17 PM   #3
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

They are going to restructure his contract so that he won't count against the 40 man roster. It's the Wily Mo Clause.
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Old 01-11-2010, 01:25 PM   #4
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

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Nothing yet. I'm hoping they DFA Taveras.
HAHA! Santa only comes once a year.

I'm officially on board this year if that happens.

You have to think that either Harang or Arroyo will be dealt, perhaps within the next 6 months leading up to the deadline. Personally, I would like to see Harang put up nice 1st half numbers and trade him to a west coast ballclub around the deadline. I don't see Harang ever recapturing past years success; let alone sustain it for several years. Arroyo, on the other hand, is invaluable with his rubber arm. He is also consistent in his performance during the second half of the season. Regardless, I think it all depends on the right deal and where they are in the standings come July.

I don't see them doing much after this. Of course, I didn't see them signing Chapman at all. Who did?
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Old 01-11-2010, 01:31 PM   #5
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

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HAHA! Santa only comes once a year.

I'm officially on board this year if that happens.

You have to think that either Harang or Arroyo will be dealt, perhaps within the next 6 months leading up to the deadline. Personally, I would like to see Harang put up nice 1st half numbers and trade him to a west coast ballclub around the deadline. I don't see Harang ever recapturing past years success; let alone sustain it for several years. Arroyo, on the other hand, is invaluable with his rubber arm. He is also consistent in his performance during the second half of the season. Regardless, I think it all depends on the right deal and where they are in the standings come July.

I don't see them doing much after this. Of course, I didn't see them signing Chapman at all. Who did?
Harang is on a one-year deal at this point. If you trade him in July, you are trading a two-three month rental. Won't get much in return, maybe somebody works out, but not a major return. Same for Arroyo.

Reds have to decide whether to hold these guys in the hope of competing this year, or to trade one or both now - for more young talent. Or to take the middle ground, trade one now, hold one to see if things click this year.

In other words, the best return for these guys is likely to trade them now. Particularly true for Arroyo, who finished strong last year, and whose value is highest in a while.
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Old 01-11-2010, 01:33 PM   #6
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

Chapman isn't gonna cost a whole lot for the fist year or so. Is he?
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Old 01-11-2010, 01:37 PM   #7
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

So did we have a roster spot open? He's showing on the 40 Man online and I'm only counting 40 people and there's no mention of a corresponding release. I didn't recall that we had a spot open.
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Old 01-11-2010, 01:46 PM   #8
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

I believe they had an open roster spot after declining to offer arbitration to Gomes. If so, then no one had to be bounced to add Chapman to the 40-man.
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Old 01-11-2010, 02:50 PM   #9
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

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Harang is on a one-year deal at this point. If you trade him in July, you are trading a two-three month rental. Won't get much in return, maybe somebody works out, but not a major return. Same for Arroyo.

Reds have to decide whether to hold these guys in the hope of competing this year, or to trade one or both now - for more young talent. Or to take the middle ground, trade one now, hold one to see if things click this year.

In other words, the best return for these guys is likely to trade them now. Particularly true for Arroyo, who finished strong last year, and whose value is highest in a while.
So the question becomes: is there more value now or later for Harang? Personally, I prefer to wait. He likely has been red flagged a bit for arm issues and his performance (run support or not) has been inconsistent. I take the chance he rebounds for a decent first half run of starts. Trade him in July for the blue chips not available in the winter.
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Old 01-11-2010, 02:55 PM   #10
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

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So the question becomes: is there more value now or later for Harang? Personally, I prefer to wait. He likely has been red flagged a bit for arm issues and his performance (run support or not) has been inconsistent. I take the chance he rebounds for a decent first half run of starts. Trade him in July for the blue chips not available in the winter.
Another reason to hold on Harang is that I can see him re-signing at a reasonable rate. Not saying he would, but I could see it.
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Old 01-11-2010, 03:38 PM   #11
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

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Another reason to hold on Harang is that I can see him re-signing at a reasonable rate. Not saying he would, but I could see it.
Good point. But, I could also see him signing on the West Coast, which is closer to his home. And signing with a team like the Dodgers or Padres for even less than he would in Cincy.
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Old 01-11-2010, 04:13 PM   #12
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

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Chapman isn't gonna cost a whole lot for the fist year or so. Is he?
I think he'll cost around $1M in 2010.


I'm hoping that both Arroyo and Harang start the year with the Reds. We need someone to pitch those innings and I think another team would be more likely to take on one of those contracts at the trade deadline when there isn't that much of a financial committment to take over. They both have 2011 options if the Reds need to keep one of them for another year. But, even if Harang is willing to sign an extension for less, I doubt the Reds would do it now unless they have to.
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Old 01-12-2010, 12:31 AM   #13
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

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Another reason to hold on Harang is that I can see him re-signing at a reasonable rate. Not saying he would, but I could see it.
Yep. If he returns to form or anything close to it, he could be a bargain. From what I understand, he likes it in Cincinnati. Arroyo, OTOH, would probably leave in a heartbeat (just my opinion). If I'm dealing (and I'm not dealing either one of them yet), it's Arroyo all the way despite his 2009 season.
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Old 01-12-2010, 06:43 PM   #14
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

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I think he'll cost around $1M in 2010.


I'm hoping that both Arroyo and Harang start the year with the Reds. We need someone to pitch those innings and I think another team would be more likely to take on one of those contracts at the trade deadline when there isn't that much of a financial committment to take over. They both have 2011 options if the Reds need to keep one of them for another year. But, even if Harang is willing to sign an extension for less, I doubt the Reds would do it now unless they have to.
The Enquirer reported today that he got a signing bonus of $6-7 million
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Old 01-12-2010, 10:16 PM   #15
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Re: Roster move or moves after Chapman?

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Nothing yet. I'm hoping they DFA Taveras.
Dare to dream....
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